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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hollyoak Poppetb 4y 23 | R W Butler — 16% R197 W32 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 47 | 38 (5) | 42 (4) | 59 (2) | 40 (5) | 31 (1) | 24 (2) | 22 (3) | 30 (1) | 21 (4) | 19 (5) | 1 | 15 | - | 10 | 44 | 32 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hollyoak Ronaldd 2y 25 | R W Butler — 16% R197 W32 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 51 | 42 (4) | 20 (5) | 20 (5) | 17 (6) | 29 (1) | 18 (3) | 20 (4) | 17 (5) | 10 (6) | 15 (5) | 12 | 8 | - | - | 42 | 32 | 5 | 12/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Montana Faithfulb 1y 14 | T M Levers — 16% R109 W17 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 43 | 34 (6) | 34 (6) | 41 (5) | 47 (4) | 47 (5) | 48 (3) | 70 (1) | 45 (3) | 33 (5) | 32 (6) | - | 17 | - | 12 | 42 | 42 | 2 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Quaild 1y 7 | D P Brabon — 19% R351 W67 P210 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 37 | 44 (2) | 27 (6) | 23 (6) | 33 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 36 | 3 | 11/10F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Missouri Mythb 3y 16 | B D O'sullivan — 18% R514 W93 P287 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 67 | 44 (5) | 34 (6) | 33 (5) | 44 (4) | 21 (6) | 36 (1) | 19 (5) | 24 (4) | 39 (6) | 39 (5) | 18 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 43 | 4 | 13/8 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Beach Partyb 3y 7 | T M Levers — 16% R109 W17 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 62 | 46 (3) | 39 (4) | 39 (5) | 35 (6) | 43 (4) | 51 (3) | 55 (3) | 52 (2) | 41 (4) | 61 (1) | 36 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 44 | 47 | 1 | 8/1 | - | |
The highest-rated dog in the field on the composite and she backs it up with a solid course and distance record — one win and two places from ten starts at this exact venue and trip. Drawn in trap 6 which wins 22.0% at A5 grade from 91 runs, the second-best position. She's a Fader with decent early pace who should be prominent through the first bend, and while she'll fade in the closing stages, at Central Park that front-running position is hugely valuable. Her speed rating is joint-second in the field at 56 and her first-bend rating of 62 is second-best. Last time out she finished third at this grade with a solid run of 46. She's not spectacular but she's the most reliable dog in a moderate field, combining the best composite score with proven course and distance form and a strong trap draw.
DANGER: Fastest and best-bending dog in the field. If she overcomes the poor trap draw, she's the one most likely to beat the selection. But six course and distance blanks are hard to ignore.
Good trap draw but moderate form and a Closer pace profile on a tight-playing track. Needs pace collapse to threaten.
Limited experience with low performance ratings across six career starts. Well below A5 standard on current evidence.
Course and distance experience is a positive but trap 3 at A5 is a structural death trap at 11.0%. Can't overcome that bias despite decent ability.
Best trap position is a genuine positive but far too slow early and too low on average performance to capitalise. Limited career experience.
Speed R1 wins 24.9% from 671 runs. Trap 3 is catastrophically weak at 11.0% — structural elimination. Trap 4 best at 22.6%. T6 strong at 22.0%.
T1:21.1% T2:19.3% T3:11.0% T4:22.6% T5:14.3% T6:22.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Hollyoak Poppet | 48 | 65 | Closer |
2Hollyoak Ronald | 52 | 35 | All-Rounder |
3Montana Faithful | 45 | 84 | Closer |
4Swift Quail | 23 | 100 | Closer |
5Missouri Myth | 68 | 0 | Fader |
6Beach Party | 62 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hollyoak Poppet | 0.621 | 0.634 |
| 2 | Hollyoak Ronald | 0.633 | 0.631 |
| 3 | Montana Faithful | — | 0.628 |
| 4 | Swift Quail | — | 0.632 |
| 5 | Missouri Myth | 0.621 | 0.625 |
| 6 | Beach Party | — | 0.631 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.