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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Samrose Jetd 2yN/R 5 | J J Luckhurst — 13% R273 W36 P116 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 21 (3) | 15 (6) | 15 (5) | 18 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | - | - | 17 | 16 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hollyoak Harrietb 5y 14 | R W Butler — 16% R197 W32 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 15 (5) | 26 (2) | 21 (2) | 20 (4) | 20 (4) | 22 (3) | 17 (3) | 16 (4) | 19 (3) | - | 15 | 20 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 21 | 4 | 10/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ferryforth Blueyb 3y 27 | N F Carter — 19% R263 W49 P139 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 20 (3) | 56 (2) | 50 (4) | 64 (1) | 54 (3) | 62 (1) | 51 (4) | 53 (4) | 34 (6) | 44 (5) | 14 | 19 | - | - | 40 | 23 | 3 | 7/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Footfield Buckod 3y 12 | B G Backhurst — 17% R198 W34 P102 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 20 (4) | 18 (5) | 26 (2) | 19 (4) | 17 (4) | 21 (3) | 23 (5) | 20 (5) | 37 (5) | 31 (5) | 9 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 15 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Run Rachelb 5y 26 | M Mavrias — 15% R286 W44 P138 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 26 (2) | 16 (6) | 15 (4) | 29 (1) | 23 (2) | 19 (4) | 22 (2) | 25 (2) | 24 (3) | 22 (4) | 30 | 29 | 42 | 34 | 22 | 23 | 1 | 4/5F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Derryveen Run Onb 7y 14 | M Mavrias — 15% R286 W44 P138 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | - | 15 (5) | 17 (5) | 15 (5) | 14 (6) | 16 (6) | 19 (5) | 17 (5) | 21 (3) | 13 (6) | 23 (2) | 29 | 19 | 15 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 5 | 33/1 | - | |
The fastest dog in the field by speed rating and she has outstanding course and distance form — one win and five places from ten starts is a 60% place rate at this exact venue and trip. That kind of consistency doesn't happen by accident. She placed second last time out at this grade, confirming she's competitive right now. Her average performance of 22 is modest but at D5 level that's enough to be right in the mix. Drawn in trap 5 which wins 18.5% from 108 runs — a middling position. The main danger to the selection, especially given her proven ability to run into the places here time after time.
Consistently low performance ratings across four career starts. Not fast enough or experienced enough to threaten at any trap position.
Good trap draw but nine course and distance runs without a win tells its own story. Consistent but consistently below winning level.
PICK (Medium): Class apart from this field with performance ratings that dwarf the opposition. Sharp early pace as a Fader is the perfect profile for a sprint. One poor last run doesn't override the clear talent gap. The quality difference is too big for the moderate trap draw to matter.
Closer in the worst trap at a sprint — a double structural disadvantage that's almost impossible to overcome at this level.
Best trap draw by a distance but the slowest dog in the field. Ten course and distance runs with virtually nothing to show. Structural edge from T6 is negated by lack of speed.
Speed R1 wins 27.3% — strongest speed signal at any Central Park 277m grade. Trap 6 dominates at 25.7% from 105 runs. Trap 4 weakest at 14.6%.
T1:20.0% T2:21.4% T3:17.3% T4:14.6% T5:18.5% T6:25.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (277m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 277m | 450m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hollyoak Harriet | — | 0.634 | — | — |
| 3 | Ferryforth Bluey | — | 0.630 | — | 0.621 |
| 4 | Footfield Bucko | 0.642 | 0.628 | 0.639 | — |
| 5 | Run Rachel | — | 0.629 | — | — |
| 6 | Derryveen Run On | — | 0.638 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.