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SIMPSON MARINE SHELP
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Jess Againb 2y 17 | B S Green — 21% R424 W90 P261 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 44 | 48 (5) | 76 (2) | 43 (6) | 71 (2) | 64 (3) | 80 (1) | 54 (5) | 43 (5) | 71 (2) | 39 (5) | 45 | 51 | 43 | 34 | 60 | 50 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Bluestar Bossd 3y 16 | A J Taylor — 12% R331 W41 P153 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 50 | 63 (2) | 43 (6) | 80 (1) | 60 (3) | 65 (2) | 65 (6) | 70 (2) | 84 (1) | 59 (3) | 53 (5) | 41 | 38 | 45 | 47 | 69 | 53 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Baran Tombstoned 2y 34 | J T Kingsley — 14% R143 W20 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 49 | 48 (5) | 53 (4) | 56 (4) | 53 (4) | 71 (2) | 45 (6) | 45 (5) | 48 (5) | 85 (1) | 45 (5) | 28 | 27 | - | 13 | 57 | 42 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Glideaway Joeyd 1y 12 | R P Rees — 24% R131 W32 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 75 (2) | 75 (2) | 91 (1) | 48 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | - | 25 | 5 | 2/1F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Mustang Maverickd 2y 17 | S A Cahill — 20% R387 W77 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 55 | 46 (5) | 50 (5) | 55 (5) | 48 (5) | 56 (3) | 70 (1) | 50 (3) | 54 (3) | 49 (3) | 60 (3) | 19 | 23 | - | 17 | 55 | 43 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
Won here last week at A3 over this course and distance, and the form figures show exactly the kind of dog that makes a comfortable pick — a recent performance in the P80 bracket that stands head and shoulders above the rest of this field. Has clocked a best of 29.75 here, the fastest in the race, and last week's run of 29.85 confirms she is at the top of her game right now. Three wins from eight visits at this course and distance speaks for itself. The blue jacket is a decent structural draw at 22.8% and her Closer profile should mean she picks up the pieces if there is any interference up front. Trainer has placed her well to win. The nine-point gap between her performance rating and the nearest challenger makes this a clear case for confidence.
Debutant with fast trials and good draw — the danger to the pick on debut night.
Class drop helps but T1 draw and Fader profile make her hard to trust.
Best draw helps but form and C&D conversion both modest — midfield at best.
Competitive Fader but form gap too wide to challenge the top two.
T3 best (23.9%), T4 strong (23.2%), T1 worst at 16.9%. Composite R1 at upper A-grades (A3-A4) is more reliable at Hove — form is settled at this level. Perf gap of 9+ points between R1 and R2 historically lifts win rate above 25%.
T1:16.9% T2:22.8% T3:23.9% T4:23.2% T5:13.0% T6:18.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Jess Again | 58 | 0 | Fader |
2Bluestar Boss | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Baran Tombstone | 42 | 100 | Closer |
4Glideaway Joey | — | — | No data |
6Mustang Maverick | 70 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 400m | 450m | 500m | 525m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jess Again | — | — | 0.604 | — | — |
| 2 | Bluestar Boss | — | — | 0.603 | — | 0.629 |
| 3 | Baran Tombstone | 0.611 | 0.614 | 0.607 | — | — |
| 4 | Glideaway Joey | — | — | 0.595 | 0.553 | — |
| 6 | Mustang Maverick | — | — | 0.605 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.