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SONS OF APATHY
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Candolim Typhoond 1y 25 | D D Knight — 19% R241 W46 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | 94 | 100 | 71 (3) | 59 (3) | 88 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 | 25 | - | - | 72 | 31 | 1 | 4/11F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Minstrels Sixb 4y 24 | J J Heath — 21% R367 W77 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | 42 | 33 | 82 (3) | 86 (3) | 73 (3) | 98 (3) | 83 (1) | 67 (2) | 97 (2) | 57 (1) | 75 (6) | - | 28 | 24 | 17 | 34 | 80 | 41 | 4 | 14/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Ivy Hill Cherryb 4y 45 | S A Cahill — 19% R382 W74 P229 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 70 | 79 (2) | 89 (2) | 82 (4) | 88 (4) | 65 (3) | 78 (5) | 75 (5) | 95 (3) | 84 (2) | 75 (5) | 47 | 16 | 20 | 26 | 81 | 39 | 2 | 7/2 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Broncos Bulletd 3y 35 | B S Green — 20% R417 W85 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | 42 | 46 | 52 (4) | 75 (2) | 90 (6) | 57 (1) | 78 (6) | 88 (3) | 89 (2) | 100 (2) | 90 (1) | - | 32 | 43 | 17 | 25 | 80 | 41 | 3 | 11/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Avarua Flojob 3y 35 | R P Rees — 23% R132 W30 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | 23 | 46 | 60 (4) | 82 (1) | 54 (4) | 61 (4) | 82 (2) | 46 (5) | 63 (3) | 83 (1) | 66 (5) | 66 (5) | 36 | 35 | 42 | 19 | 69 | 35 | 5 | 33/1 | ||
The pick on the convergence of composite rank, structural trap position, and course-and-distance form. Shares the composite lead (tied with the worst-drawn runner in the race) but occupies the second-best structural position at 24.6% for trap 2 — a meaningful structural advantage at this marathon trip. Eight visits to this course and distance have produced two wins and four places, and last time out ran P86 in third from OR3 grade before being crowded in the back straight. The form before that was P98 — a near-perfect run. A Closer who travels strongly through the first half of the marathon and finishes with authority. The composite is telling us this is the model's pick when you take the trap into account. At a distance where stamina and settling are everything, this is the safest selection.
Best trap and extraordinary pace — the danger, but Fader at 695m is a structural risk.
Best performance rating and consistent marathon form — third choice behind the pick.
Composite equal to the pick but the worst trap in the race — draw settles the tie firmly.
Slowest on the clock and lowest composite — the rank outsider tonight.
T1 dominant at 30%, T2 strong at 24.6%. T4 worst draw at 13.7%. Composite R1 wins 31.5% — one of the stronger model signals in tonight's card. Speed R2 (28.9%) outperforms Speed R1 (20.9%) — pure raw speed does not necessarily translate at this marathon distance.
T1:30.0% T2:24.6% T3:19.3% T4:13.7% T5:18.4% T6:13.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 695m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Candolim Typhoon | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Minstrels Six | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Ivy Hill Cherry | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Broncos Bullet | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Avarua Flojo | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.