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PEAR PROPERTIES
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Blackstone Harryd 2y 29 | S A Cahill — 19% R382 W74 P229 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 48 | 87 (1) | 52 (1) | 79 (4) | 65 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 65 | 44 | 4 | 6/4 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Bubbly Sheerand 1y 14 | P W Young — 19% R1304 W242 P764 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 49 | 54 (4) | 72 0 | 74 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | 30 | 12 | 30 | 73 | 54 | 1 | 8/15F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Letter Eileenb 2y 17 | J J Heath — 21% R367 W77 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 56 | 52 0 | 85 (5) | 84 (1) | 89 (1) | 64 (3) | 73 (2) | 70 (2) | 83 (3) | 80 (1) | - | 4 | 32 | - | 63 | 79 | 53 | 2 | 16/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Ballycian Alvab 1y 21 | P W Young — 19% R1304 W242 P764 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 43 | 83 (3) | 54 (3) | 73 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 32 | - | - | - | 63 | 42 | 5 | 22/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Slippy Desd 2y 22 | J Campbell — 0% R16 W0 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 46 | 59 (6) | 58 (5) | 59 (5) | 69 (3) | 53 (4) | 61 (4) | 63 (3) | 67 (4) | 54 (5) | 75 (2) | 2 | 15 | - | 19 | 61 | 44 | 3 | 16/1 | ||
The pick is not driven by the model here — it is driven by an exceptional course-and-distance record that stands well above anything else in the race. Nine visits to this track and distance have produced five wins and seven places, a conversion rate rarely seen in open company. Won at A2 grade last time — a level above tonight's OR3 company — leading into the straight and travelling strongly. The performance rating of 79 is the best in this field by a clear margin, and the nine-run C&D record here is simply not something the model can overlook. The white jacket is a fair draw and she is proven in tough company. When the class of the field has been winning at a higher level and carries a course-and-distance record of this quality, the trap position is a secondary concern.
Model's choice by a whisker, but draw is poor and form is limited — danger rather than pick.
Honest early pace but limited form and low C&D conversion.
Limited form, poor draw, no C&D evidence — among the toughest to recommend.
Best structural position but no wins here — the form evidence goes to Letter Eileen.
T6 dominant at 22.1%, T5 worst at 8.6%. Composite is weak at OR3 (16.7% for R1) — course and distance form and performance are more reliable signals here. Speed R1 at 19.3%.
T1:17.7% T2:14.7% T3:15.7% T4:13.9% T5:8.6% T6:22.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Blackstone Harry | 87 | 0 | Fader |
2Bubbly Sheeran | 85 | 0 | Fader |
3Letter Eileen | 0 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Ballycian Alva | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Slippy Des | 50 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.