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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Swift Carlod 4y 25 | J G Mullins — 19% R131 W25 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 58 | 82 (1) | 66 (4) | 61 (3) | 55 (5) | 82 (5) | 64 (2) | 65 (3) | 86 (3) | 30 (1) | - | 29 | 19 | 20 | 26 | 68 | 42 | 3 | 9/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Savana Ribenab 2y 15 | M Lewis — 13% R75 W10 P34 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 48 | 65 (3) | 69 (3) | 17 (4) | 64 (2) | 77 (2) | 58 (4) | 72 (2) | 77 (3) | 79 (3) | 65 (3) | 27 | - | 3 | - | 62 | 39 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Worth The Riskd 2y 18 | K L Windebank — 17% R570 W96 P319 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 76 | 67 (3) | 59 (5) | 41 (5) | 61 (5) | 68 (4) | 87 (1) | 64 (3) | 54 (5) | 81 (5) | - | 33 | 33 | 26 | 13 | 63 | 44 | 2 | 7/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Bish Bosh Bashyd 3y 36 | K L Windebank — 17% R570 W96 P319 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 28 | 32 | 83 (2) | 67 (3) | 83 (2) | 79 (1) | 68 (1) | 64 (2) | 79 (5) | 64 (3) | 29 (3) | - | 17 | 34 | 23 | 41 | 72 | 20 | 5 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Headford Roseb 3y 17 | I J Barnard — 22% R274 W60 P170 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 47 | 77 (2) | 62 (5) | 57 (3) | 68 (5) | 66 (2) | 99 (3) | 67 (1) | 57 (4) | 93 (5) | - | 12 | 26 | 37 | 29 | 70 | 44 | 1 | 4/1 | |
The pick. Drawn in the best box at A2 grade and rated joint-top by the model with the added advantage of an exceptional first-bend rating of 76 — the best in this field by a considerable margin. At Yarmouth, where the long home straight rewards dogs with enough early pace to hold a good position before the chasing pack closes, a high first-bend rating is a genuine tactical edge. Ran third at A2 last time in a P67 which is a consistent performance at this grade. The Windebank yard operates at 18% and has the dog fit and ready. The combination of best draw, top model rating, and best-in-field first-bend figure makes this the most logical selection.
Solid progressive form and decent trap — danger not pick given the more rounded profile of Worth The Risk from the better draw.
Modest form and low venue suitability — place prospects only in a race with stronger profiles above her.
Top performance rating but the sprint-stayer profile mismatch over 462m is a genuine concern — others preferred on balance.
Solid recent A2 form and joint top model rating but the draw gives the edge to Worth The Risk from trap 3.
T3 best draw at A2. Speed and first-bend ratings dominate the model at this standard distance.
T1:19.5% T2:19.8% T3:21.2% T4:18.3% T5:17.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Swift Carlo | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Savana Ribena | 43 | 100 | Closer |
3Worth The Risk | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Bish Bosh Bashy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Headford Rose | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.