Arena Racing Company Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Emers Tysond 3y 16 | J Walton — 13% R70 W9 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 41 | 32 (6) | 47 (4) | 50 (2) | 63 (1) | 74 (1) | 43 (4) | 57 (1) | 25 (6) | 53 (4) | 33 (6) | 27 | 36 | 27 | 34 | 48 | 46 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Alnwick Queenb 3y 25 | A Harrison — 20% R550 W110 P322 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 74 | 47 (4) | 36 (1) | 26 (3) | 36 (1) | 49 (3) | 49 (3) | 48 (3) | 43 (5) | 23 (2) | - | 29 | 31 | 23 | 14 | 47 | 39 | 6 | 11/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Amazing Persiab 1y | S Roberts — 18% R164 W29 P84 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 25 | 42 | 28 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | - | - | - | 28 | 20 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Alnwick Nuked 1y 4 | A Harrison — 20% R550 W110 P322 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 54 | 35 (5) | 57 (1) | 41 (3) | 43 (5) | 59 (3) | 34 (6) | 46 (2) | 52 (1) | 34 (5) | - | 30 | 25 | 16 | 24 | 45 | 42 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Romeo Lightningd 3y 7 | J T Edgar — 17% R500 W86 P278 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 61 | 43 (4) | 55 (1) | 42 (3) | 49 (3) | 37 (5) | 44 (3) | 38 (4) | 36 (6) | 57 (4) | - | 30 | 29 | - | 23 | 45 | 45 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Tina On Fireb 3y 14 | J J Fenwick — 18% R502 W89 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 43 | 28 (3) | 28 (3) | 40 (5) | 37 (6) | 32 (6) | 56 (2) | 61 (1) | 57 (1) | 38 (4) | 39 (4) | 27 | 24 | 30 | 25 | 44 | 43 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
Composite leader in this race and carries the strongest course and distance record of any runner on show — three wins from ten attempts at Newcastle 480 metres (30%) is the kind of proven track knowledge that consistently adds value. All recent form is from graded A-grade races at this track and distance, so there are no trial contamination issues or distance mismatches to worry about. Form reads P32 last time out at A6 — a disappointing effort in a higher grade — but prior to that P47, P50, P63, and a peak of P74, showing genuine ability when racing well. The volatile run at A6 should be treated as a bad day rather than a trend. Trap 1 is one of the weaker draws at A7 Newcastle (16.1% from 323 runs), which is the key concern, but the course and distance record overrides a modest trap disadvantage here — dogs who win 30% of their races at a track and distance have earned the benefit of the doubt.
Speed rank 1 but drawn in the worst trap at this grade, Fader profile, and zero wins from six course and distance runs. Pace up front, fade late.
Insufficient form — one run resulting in a last-place finish. Too little to assess and the numbers do not compare favourably with the field.
Best structural draw at this grade and a solid course and distance record. Form is volatile but the combination of good trap and proven local ability keeps him in the picture as a danger.
Composite rank 2 but in a weak trap at this grade. Decent course and distance record but nothing to prefer him over the selection with the better trap and form credentials.
Decent trap and respectable course and distance record, but last two competitive runs at sprint distance make today's form ambiguous. Longer-priced possibility.
At A7 Newcastle the composite rank 1 wins only 19.69% — below the track average — making this a grade where the model is weakest and form analysis must add value. Trap 4 is the dominant box at 21.68% from 392 runs. Traps 1 and 2 are structural disadvantages at this grade. Course and distance records from 6-10 runs produce a 20% win rate.
T1:16.1% T2:15.41% T3:20.75% T4:21.68% T5:16.49% T6:20.83%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Emers Tyson | 41 | 94 | Closer |
2Alnwick Queen | 75 | 8 | Fader |
3Amazing Persia | 44 | 48 | All-Rounder |
4Alnwick Nuke | 53 | 47 | All-Rounder |
5Romeo Lightning | 54 | 52 | All-Rounder |
6Tina On Fire | 47 | 73 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emers Tyson | — | 0.623 |
| 2 | Alnwick Queen | 0.604 | 0.623 |
| 3 | Amazing Persia | — | 0.635 |
| 4 | Alnwick Nuke | — | 0.632 |
| 5 | Romeo Lightning | — | 0.627 |
| 6 | Tina On Fire | 0.616 | 0.625 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.