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The Future of Racing: PGR TV Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Alnwick Tommyd 4y 27 | A Harrison — 20% R550 W110 P322 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 53 | 49 (2) | 30 (6) | 47 (4) | 46 (4) | 54 (3) | 53 (3) | 52 (2) | 49 (3) | 57 (3) | 48 (4) | 31 | 31 | 20 | 22 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Swift Zenb 3y 16 | M Gray — 17% R52 W9 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 29 | 19 (5) | 33 (6) | 72 (1) | 60 (2) | 62 (2) | 42 (5) | 49 (5) | 44 (5) | 52 (3) | 40 (5) | 30 | 32 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 38 | 5 | 22/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Five Alley Macyb 2y 8 | A Harrison — 20% R550 W110 P322 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 64 | 52 (2) | 61 (1) | 41 (5) | 38 (5) | 46 (2) | 39 (5) | 39 (4) | 29 (6) | 34 (5) | - | 4 | 31 | 31 | 35 | 45 | 45 | 1 | 2/1JF | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Wanganui Wandab 1y 4 | B J Mcphillips — 18% R68 W12 P34 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 51 | 20 (6) | 51 (2) | 56 (2) | 46 (4) | 58 (4) | 22 (5) | 40 (4) | 39 (6) | 62 (1) | - | 2 | 20 | 36 | 27 | 51 | 42 | 2 | 2/1JF | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Darraghs Elzb 1y | B J Mcphillips — 18% R68 W12 P34 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Easy Ozb 2y 16 | S Roberts — 18% R164 W29 P84 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 33 | 44 (4) | 49 (3) | 43 (4) | 39 (6) | 44 (3) | 57 (3) | 51 (3) | 50 (2) | 37 (5) | 34 (5) | 15 | 24 | 25 | 14 | 45 | 35 | 6 | 9/1 | - | |
Composite leader in this race and has been showing genuine improvement in recent outings. Form reads P52 last time out at A7 here finishing second, and P61 in the run before that at A7 — two consecutive solid performances at this exact grade and track. She is a Fader with strong early pace, meaning she will push forward from trap 3 and look to control the race from the front. Trap 3 is a solid draw at A7 Newcastle (20.75% from 371 runs — the third-best box). Six course and distance runs with one win (17%) is modest but the recent placing form shows she belongs at this level. The main risk is that as a Fader she may run out of running in the final stages if the race is run at a strong pace — Newcastle's long home straight tests stamina. But the combination of composite leadership, improving recent A7 form at this course, and a decent structural draw gives her the edge in a wide-open race.
DANGER: Set aside the sprint form — the pre-sprint 480m performances (P72 peak) show real ability. Exceptional closing speed suits Newcastle but the worst draw at this grade is a real obstacle. Watch for a late run.
Speed rank 1 but zero wins from ten course and distance attempts in the worst area of the track. Cannot be preferred despite the pace figures.
Best draw at this grade and competitive 480m form from earlier outings. Last two sprint runs should be discounted. A live outsider based on the structural trap advantage.
Unknown on debut in a below-average draw. No form to assess. Cannot be recommended.
Good trap and strong closing speed, but zero wins from ten course and distance runs is difficult to overlook. Place prospect rather than a winning chance.
Composite rank 1 wins only 19.69% at A7 Newcastle — a structurally weak signal at this grade. Trap 4 is the best draw (21.68% from 392 runs). Traps 1 and 2 are the worst structural positions. Speed rank 1 also wins only around 20% — this is a genuinely open grade where deep reasoning must add genuine value through course form and pace analysis.
T1:16.1% T2:15.41% T3:20.75% T4:21.68% T5:16.49% T6:20.83%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Alnwick Tommy | 53 | 40 | All-Rounder |
2Swift Zen | 32 | 92 | Closer |
3Five Alley Macy | 61 | 9 | Fader |
4Wanganui Wanda | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Darraghs Elz | — | — | No data |
6Easy Oz | 28 | 96 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 350m | 480m | 525m | 640m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alnwick Tommy | — | — | 0.624 | — | — |
| 2 | Swift Zen | 0.620 | — | 0.625 | — | 0.640 |
| 3 | Five Alley Macy | — | 0.583 | 0.624 | 0.579 | — |
| 4 | Wanganui Wanda | 0.618 | — | 0.624 | — | — |
| 5 | Darraghs Elz | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Easy Oz | — | — | 0.626 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.