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The Lucky Last 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Slaneyside Lunab 2y 5 | Derek Kehoe — 17% R64 W11 P35 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 63 (4) | 68 (3) | 68 (3) | 54 (6) | 77 (2) | 53 (5) | 77 (1) | 73 (1) | 62 (3) | 56 (4) | 25 | 35 | 32 | 23 | 65 | 51 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Witches Addisd 3y 16 | - | - | 49 | - | 67 (3) | 77 (2) | 76 (2) | 59 (4) | 61 (4) | 62 (5) | 44 (6) | 44 (6) | 66 (5) | 63 (5) | 23 | 39 | 37 | 24 | 65 | 43 | 5 | 11/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Hold The Doord 2y 28 | - | - | 51 | - | 63 (3) | 60 (4) | 61 (3) | 69 (2) | 85 (1) | 77 (1) | 66 (3) | 58 (3) | 61 (3) | 49 (6) | 29 | 34 | 8 | 28 | 65 | 47 | 2 | 7/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Cavies Champd 2y 17 | - | - | 45 | - | 59 (2) | 59 (3) | 73 (1) | 56 (4) | 74 (1) | 56 (3) | 59 (2) | 58 (3) | 55 (4) | 65 (2) | 41 | 25 | 34 | 36 | 62 | 46 | 6 | 11/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Slaheny Steepleb 3y 16 | - | - | 49 | - | 69 (2) | 64 (4) | 75 (1) | 75 (1) | 60 (4) | 60 (5) | 72 (2) | 74 (2) | 58 (4) | 48 (5) | 46 | 37 | 26 | 38 | 67 | 51 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Warriors Wayd 4y 45 | - | - | 51 | - | 60 (3) | 60 (5) | 57 (5) | 52 (5) | 80 (1) | 58 (5) | 67 (3) | 62 (5) | 81 (1) | 68 (3) | 18 | 17 | 31 | 17 | 62 | 29 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
The top selection on the two most reliable measures — she has the fastest speed rating in the field at 54, which is the primary predictor at A5 Youghal where speed rank one wins 25.97%, and she also tops the composite model. Two wins from ten course and distance starts is a reasonable record and trainer Derek Kehoe is a steady operator. Recent form has shown a 63 and two 68s, which is consistent A5-level form, with a peak of 77 in her last six outings. There is room for improvement and she can clearly compete at A4 level given the 77 run. Trap one is a fair draw at 16.26% — not the best, but decent enough. The combination of speed rank one and composite rank one in a race where both signals matter is a reliable starting point for selection.
Best average performance and consistent recent form at 69-75 level — a close second call and a genuine danger to the selection.
Capable form but zero C&D wins from 10 tries is a damning record — consistent non-converter at this track.
Best trap in the race and can win here, but recent form has come off the peak — just below the selection.
Below-average draw and lowest speed of the main group — others are better placed to win.
Long absence and worst structural trap — too many negatives against fit rivals to support today.
Speed rank 1 wins 25.97% at 525m A5 — the strongest reliable signal. T3 best at 17.86% from 196 runs. T6 worst at 10.8% from 176 runs. Composite R1 weak at 17.46%.
T1:16.3% T2:14.8% T3:17.9% T4:14.5% T5:16.0% T6:10.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.