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The Paddy Cullinane Memorial A7 Stake Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Slaneyside Croib 2y 26 | - | - | 40 | - | 51 (3) | 59 (2) | 43 (5) | 46 (5) | 51 (3) | 62 (3) | 55 (3) | 53 (2) | 47 (4) | 49 (3) | 16 | 26 | 36 | 21 | 52 | 35 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Newtown Minnieb 1y 7 | - | - | 62 | - | 72 (1) | 71 (1) | 64 (2) | 44 (4) | 44 (4) | 50 (4) | 41 (4) | 68 (1) | 63 (1) | 37 (6) | - | 43 | 38 | 47 | 59 | 58 | 2 | 6/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Trixs Delightd 1y 6 | John Hickey — 17% R23 W4 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 55 (3) | 68 (1) | 48 (4) | 44 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 55 | 46 | 3 | 11/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Carefree Ravenb 3y 6 | Bernadette Connolly — 15% R39 W6 P21 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 66 | - | 68 (2) | 71 (1) | 46 (4) | 68 (2) | 58 (2) | 57 (3) | 44 (6) | 52 (4) | 61 (3) | 64 (2) | 21 | 31 | 27 | 37 | 60 | 55 | 1 | 6/5F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Dower Queenb 3y 27 | - | - | 41 | - | 60 (2) | 65 (1) | 45 (4) | 60 (2) | 67 (1) | 53 (5) | 67 (1) | 48 (4) | 54 (2) | 67 (1) | 32 | 33 | 37 | 49 | 59 | 44 | 4 | 15/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hollyhill Vauband 2y 7 | - | - | 42 | - | 69 (1) | 60 (2) | 38 (5) | 40 (5) | 68 (1) | 43 (6) | 32 (6) | 38 (4) | 51 (4) | 69 (1) | - | 29 | 47 | 36 | 52 | 44 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
The fastest dog in the field on the clock with a speed rating of 66, which is the clear number one on the most reliable single predictor at A7 Youghal. Speed rank one wins 22.5% at this grade and trip, making her the strongest single-metric case in the field. Her form has been good — second last time with a 68, a win at A7 with a 71 two runs back, and she has been consistently running 57-71 at this grade. Only one win from ten course and distance starts is the main negative against her, and she sits in trap four which is a fair but not outstanding draw at 16.27%. If the pick has an off day, Carefree Raven has the speed to make it uncomfortable.
Four wins from nine at this track and trip is exceptional C&D form, and winning the last two here back-to-back makes her the most dangerous threat to the pick. The one genuine speed disadvantage is the only reason she is not first choice.
Ten runs at this course and trip without a win and below-average recent form — no compelling case for selection at this grade.
Best trap in the race after the pick but form and speed ratings fall short of the leading pair. Needs improvement to feature.
Exceptional C&D record undermined by a poor draw. Has the course form but the trap is a significant structural negative at this grade.
Won last time out but faces the worst structural trap in the race. The draw is a significant negative at A7.
Composite R1 wins only 15.06% — completely flat across all ranks, model has no predictive value at A7. Speed rank 1 wins 22.55% — the only reliable signal. T3 best at 17.83%, T6 worst at 9.96%, T5 poor at 13.15%.
T1:15.3% T2:16.2% T3:17.8% T4:16.3% T5:13.2% T6:10.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.