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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Final Jewelb 1y 5 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R583 W109 P330 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 51 | 43 (4) | 63 (1) | 58 (1) | 52 (1) | 45 (3) | 21 (6) | 32 (1) | 27 (2) | 28 (2) | - | 45 | 57 | - | 35 | 28 | 34 | 6 | 6/4F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Sugar Kingd 1y 10 | C S Fereday — 19% R453 W85 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 47 | 63 (1) | 53 (1) | 45 (2) | 37 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | 39 | 18 | 28 | 43 | 39 | 3 | 7/4 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Yama Romeod 2y 7 | C S Fereday — 19% R453 W85 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | 34 | 44 | 28 (6) | 42 (5) | 56 (1) | 52 (1) | 29 (5) | 42 (3) | 48 (1) | 26 (6) | 47 (1) | 35 (2) | 59 | 49 | - | 39 | 35 | 40 | 2 | 16/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Final Sydneyd 4y 34 | P A Curtin — 17% R294 W50 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 49 | 24 (5) | 31 (5) | 38 (5) | 53 (1) | 48 (1) | 28 (4) | 24 (4) | 24 (4) | 25 (3) | 25 (5) | 40 | 42 | 26 | 38 | 31 | 34 | 4 | 6/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Swift Zappyb 4y 32 | A K Jenkins — 16% R188 W31 P102 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 47 | 25 (5) | 26 (5) | 27 (5) | 31 (5) | 49 (1) | 28 (5) | 27 (2) | 36 (5) | 28 (5) | 24 (5) | 40 | 38 | 23 | 35 | 33 | 35 | 5 | 8/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Jacktavern Cocob 1y 16 | C S Fereday — 19% R453 W85 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | 57 | 57 | 39 (5) | 42 (4) | 60 (1) | 46 (2) | 26 (6) | 31 (5) | - | - | - | - | 29 | 37 | 30 | 27 | 38 | 36 | 1 | 4/1 | ||
Yama Romeo ranks first in prediction (composite 43) despite a modest 37 average performance rating—the prediction reflects consistency and strategic fit rather than explosive form. The 40 speed rating is mid-field, and the 68 trap suitability from trap 3 (20.3%) is the field's best, indicating a dog well-positioned geometrically and tactically aligned. The critical asset is the 85 PCons score (closer profile with consistency), indicating a dog that reliably executes late-race acceleration. Form line (47>35>25>12>11) is declining into the race, a concerning pattern that contradicts the prediction ranking. The penultimate 12 and 11 outings are weak. However, Trainer C S Fereday's 14% strike rate masks the fact that when Fereday dogs do win, they often do so decisively; consistency may be hidden in the data. The all-rounder pace classification combined with higher bend (48) rating suggests Yama Romeo is capable of closing from midfield. In a low-separation field, consistency and positional advantage (trap 3's 20.3% dominance) carry extra weight. Yama Romeo is preferred primarily because the field lacks a standout performer and Romeo's trap advantage is measurable. Confidence must remain tentative given the declining form trend.
Elite speed rating (59) creates threat despite recent form decline. Fader profile with 90 PCons could dominate if pace strategy executes. Danger to Yama Romeo. Second choice.
Strong track suitability and dominant trap position offset by inconsistent recent form and below-average trainer strike rate. Will contend but not favored in tight field. Third choice.
Non-competitive form and universally weak suitability across all metrics. Discard entirely.
Reliable consistency without progression. Mid-field prediction ranking reflects lack of standout assets. Place contender. Fourth choice.
Poor form, worst trap suitability in field, and catastrophic distance deficiency (11) indicate structural misalignment. Cannot threaten. Discard.
Low composite rank separation (3.8pp) indicates compressed form margins and reduced predictability. This is a race where marginal factors (consistency, trainer pattern, recent acceleration) matter more than absolute form credentials.
T1:21.5% T2:16.3% T3:20.3% T4:16.7% T5:16.7% T6:18.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Final Jewel | 52 | 41 | All-Rounder |
2Sugar King | 52 | 39 | All-Rounder |
3Yama Romeo | 36 | 64 | Closer |
4Final Sydney | 48 | 60 | Closer |
5Swift Zappy | 54 | 36 | All-Rounder |
6Jacktavern Coco | 48 | 59 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.