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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Jayavaknod 2y 16 | J B Thompson — 19% R518 W97 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 15 | 26 (6) | 79 (3) | 46 (1) | 54 (1) | 38 (6) | 32 (1) | 35 (3) | - | - | - | 74 | 61 | 30 | 75 | 42 | 52 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Tullymurry Indiab 2y 9 | J B Thompson — 19% R518 W97 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 99 (1) | 98 (1) | 78 (3) | 74 (5) | 41 (3) | 42 (1) | 43 (4) | 41 (1) | 29 (1) | - | 38 | 37 | 22 | 38 | 34 | 35 | 5 | 14/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Tommys Targetd 2y 8 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R609 W113 P343 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 63 | 43 (2) | 63 (3) | 57 (4) | 41 (6) | 56 (3) | 55 (5) | 73 (4) | 47 (1) | 42 (2) | 73 (2) | 47 | 52 | 41 | 50 | 57 | 54 | 2 | 1/1F | |
| 4 | ▶ Whisky Flamed 3y 16 | N J Hunt — 19% R372 W72 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 82 | 68 (5) | 47 (4) | 35 (1) | 62 (4) | 35 (6) | 63 (4) | 66 (4) | 30 (4) | 46 (5) | - | 43 | 39 | 35 | 39 | 49 | 46 | 1 | 7/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Specific Roled 3y 26 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R318 W45 P163 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 36 (2) | 40 (5) | 42 (2) | 43 (2) | 31 (1) | 36 (4) | 40 (2) | 25 (1) | 31 (5) | - | 40 | 42 | 23 | 42 | 36 | 38 | 4 | 5/1 | |
Tommys Target is the standout runner in this 5-dog field, carrying a 60 composite score that is +10pp above the next-highest runner (50 Jayavakno) and significantly above the field average. The form metrics are convincing: 62 avg performance is the highest in the field and reflects genuine form quality, 68 track suitability shows excellent Monmore familiarity, and 52 distance suitability indicates competence at this sprint distance. The all-rounder pace profile combined with 63 bend rating provides explosive early acceleration that is precisely what matters in a 264m sprint. The recent form (72-46-42-73-19) shows peaks at 73 and 72, indicating recent high-level running, though the 19 most recently suggests a dip. However, the underlying composite lead and form quality are sufficient to project Tommys Target as the likely winner. T3 at 24.4% is mid-range in the small-sample field, meaning no structural disadvantage exists. At Billingham-Hine's 14% yard win rate, this runner stands alone in this race.
Composite 50 is 10pp below pick. Bend rating 82 is elite and could overcome form gap. Form peaks recent. T4 trap uncertainty due to small sample. Credible danger.
Composite 50 is competitive. Distance suitability 73 is excellent. Bend rating 15 is weakness. Form 1-3-1-6-6 shows inconsistency. Secondary to pick.
Composite 36 is below pick. T2 dead trap is disqualifying disadvantage in a sprint. Form 1-4-2-2-3 is decent but cannot overcome trap penalty. Clear outsider.
Composite 37 is 23pp below pick. Form 1-4-2-1-5 shows adequate record. No standout suitability metrics. T6 disadvantage. Clear outsider.
SMALL SAMPLE WARNING: Only 294 total runs, reducing condition confidence. T4 dominant but from just 34 runs—high volatility. This is a SPRINT with only 5 runners, making early pace and form quality primary factors. Composite rank shows massive gap R2-R3 (10.8pp), suggesting mid-field dogs are significantly outclassed. Trust pick's form metrics more than trap bias.
T1:17.8% T2:8.0% T3:24.4% T4:29.4% T5:19.1% T6:12.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.