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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballyard Nellb 2y 35 | R Short — 21% R155 W32 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 48 | 25 (6) | 60 (4) | 46 (1) | 57 (5) | 54 (5) | 70 (2) | 75 (2) | 62 (4) | 74 (2) | 81 (1) | 40 | 31 | 51 | 18 | 64 | 46 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Moyar Kingd 2y 25 | D Welding — 21% R73 W15 P47 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 44 | 49 (4) | 79 (1) | 77 (1) | 28 (4) | 48 (5) | 50 (5) | 47 (5) | 61 (5) | 76 (3) | - | 38 | 33 | - | 32 | 61 | 42 | 5 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Inclement Dreamb 2y 27 | S W Deakin — 14% R548 W79 P252 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 51 | 69 (2) | 64 (3) | 62 (4) | 52 (5) | 46 (5) | 73 (3) | 66 (2) | 82 (1) | 77 (1) | 49 (5) | 31 | 20 | 20 | 24 | 64 | 45 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Timahoe Rockyd 2y 5 | S W Deakin — 14% R548 W79 P252 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 64 | 78 (1) | 64 (3) | 35 (2) | 38 (6) | 64 (2) | 72 (1) | 58 (3) | 76 (1) | 37 (5) | 55 (2) | 21 | 29 | - | 38 | 62 | 51 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Mohican Lucyb 2y 17 | D T Smith — 17% R410 W69 P200 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 46 | 46 (6) | 74 (2) | 65 (3) | 56 (4) | 48 (5) | 53 (3) | 56 (1) | 56 (5) | 68 (4) | - | 42 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 58 | 43 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
The composite rank 1 dog in this five-runner field, arriving in excellent form — won at A4 480m last time with a 78-rated performance, his best recent figure. That win came at the A4 level and today's A3 is a step up in grade, but a Fader who has already shown ability at standard distances and carries the top composite rating. Course and distance record of two wins from six at Dunstall 480m (33%) is solid. The top bend rating in the field helps in making early ground, and as the Fader in the race, he will be looking to get across from trap 4 and build an early lead. Trap 4 produces 15.5% here — below the best draws — but the model rank 1 status combined with a recent win make a compelling package.
Best structural draw at this grade and distance with a strong course and distance record. The main danger on the trap and course form.
Speed rank 1 but in the worst structural draw at this grade and distance. The trap disadvantage overrides the speed advantage based on the condition data.
Excellent structural draw but no course and distance wins and a very poor last performance at a completely different trip. Hard to elevate above the course specialists.
Nine course and distance runs with only one win. Modest speed rating and a Closer who needs help from the pace. Below the main principals.
Trap 3 wins only 9.6% of A3 480m races at Dunstall — the dead draw. Traps 1 and 2 are the structural picks above 22%. Composite rank 1 wins 20.5% with rank 2 dropping sharply to 14.6%.
T1:22.4% T2:22.7% T3:9.6% T4:15.5% T5:18.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballyard Nell | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Moyar King | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Inclement Dream | 54 | 40 | All-Rounder |
4Timahoe Rocky | 69 | 0 | Fader |
5Mohican Lucy | 23 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 275m | 476m | 480m | 500m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballyard Nell | 0.603 | 0.639 | 0.604 | 0.604 | — | — |
| 2 | Moyar King | 0.610 | — | — | 0.609 | — | — |
| 3 | Inclement Dream | — | — | — | 0.606 | — | — |
| 4 | Timahoe Rocky | 0.594 | — | — | 0.606 | — | 0.561 |
| 5 | Mohican Lucy | — | — | — | 0.608 | 0.617 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.