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WATCH PGR ON GREYHOUNDS.ATTHERACES.COM
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Skin Faded 2yREP 19 | I E Walker — 11% R249 W28 P112 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 53 | 43 (6) | 52 (5) | 52 (4) | 54 (3) | 82 (1) | 55 (6) | 54 (5) | 81 (1) | 62 (3) | 46 (5) | 45 | 50 | 43 | 23 | 56 | 47 | 1 | 10/11F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ashtons Ollied 1yN/RREP 1 | S W Deakin — 14% R548 W79 P252 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 34 | 63 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 63 | 40 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Scarborough Lucyb 2yREP 18 | R Short — 21% R155 W32 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 53 | 27 (4) | 53 (4) | 77 (1) | 46 (6) | 72 (1) | 40 (6) | 28 (4) | 32 (2) | 22 (6) | 47 (5) | 28 | 27 | 19 | 37 | 57 | 46 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Lovelandb 2yREP 7 | R Short — 21% R155 W32 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 50 | 52 (5) | 56 (4) | 80 (1) | 42 (6) | 55 (5) | 13 (5) | 72 (2) | 68 (2) | 61 (4) | 52 (5) | 17 | 29 | 49 | 22 | 55 | 46 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Quivers Jazzd 3yREP 24 | R L Hill — 10% R60 W6 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 28 | 48 (5) | 63 (2) | 45 (6) | 91 (2) | 60 (3) | 39 (6) | 58 (3) | 77 (2) | 83 (1) | 75 (2) | 28 | 14 | 32 | 11 | 61 | 37 | 4 | 7/4 | - | |
The composite rank 1 dog in a five-runner field, drawn in trap 1 — one of the two best-performing boxes at A3 480m at Dunstall, producing 22.4% of winners from 107 runs. The combination of top composite rank and the best structural draw is a meaningful stack at this grade. A Fader who will try to lead and get far enough clear to hold on. Last race was at A2 grade (a harder grade) where she finished sixth — but she has been placed consistently at A3 and A2 level over the past several runs, and a peak of 82 five runs ago shows she can produce a quality performance here. Course and distance record of two wins from ten (20%) is modest but shows she knows this trip. The step down from A2 to A3 should suit.
Best course and distance record in the race but in the worst structural draw. The trap disadvantage is severe — 9.6% from 115 runs is not noise.
Best draw and speed rank 1 but only one career run provides no foundation for confident assessment. Raw potential but unproven.
Decent peak form and course experience but modest win rate and a below-average draw. Below the top two on this assessment.
Lowest course and distance conversion rate in the race and low speed rating. Despite the historical peak, current evidence does not support a strong placing.
Trap 3 wins only 9.6% of races from 115 runs at A3 480m — a catastrophically weak draw. Traps 1 and 2 are the structural draws, both above 22%. Composite rank 1 wins 20.5% with a large drop to rank 2 at 14.6% — the model separates R1 from R2 more cleanly than usual here.
T1:22.4% T2:22.7% T3:9.6% T4:15.5% T5:18.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Skin Fade | 67 | 0 | Fader |
2Ashtons Ollie | 50 | 60 | Closer |
3Scarborough Lucy | 93 | 0 | Fader |
4Loveland | 33 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Quivers Jazz | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 270m | 450m | 480m | 500m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skin Fade | — | — | — | 0.607 | — | — |
| 3 | Scarborough Lucy | — | 0.610 | 0.635 | 0.607 | — | 0.578 |
| 4 | Loveland | — | — | — | 0.605 | 0.624 | — |
| 5 | Quivers Jazz | 0.581 | — | 0.605 | 0.611 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.