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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Limekiln Pamb 6y 23 | N P Ralph Jnr — 17% R59 W10 P32 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 47 | 51 (3) | 60 (3) | 48 (5) | 57 (3) | 23 (5) | 49 (4) | 55 (4) | 64 (2) | 71 (1) | 61 (2) | 32 | 25 | 19 | 17 | 56 | 47 | 1 | 7/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Firecrackerheidid 4y 24 | N P Ralph Jnr — 17% R59 W10 P32 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 61 (1) | 34 (6) | 41 (5) | 55 (2) | 61 (1) | 16 (5) | 41 (3) | 38 (5) | 32 (6) | 46 (3) | 21 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 47 | 37 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Polerone Hottogob 2y 16 | S W Deakin — 14% R548 W79 P252 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 57 | 60 (1) | 43 (2) | 46 (3) | 42 (3) | 46 (3) | 36 (1) | 36 (6) | 35 (1) | 21 (1) | - | 33 | 29 | 17 | 33 | 48 | 42 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Runbigmanrund 1y 25 | S W Deakin — 14% R548 W79 P252 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 44 | 44 (5) | 37 (5) | 21 (1) | 30 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 19 | 17 | - | - | 44 | 30 | 6 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Pennys Mawub 2y 5 | G B Ballentine — 15% R120 W18 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 47 | 41 (4) | 41 (4) | 56 (3) | 53 (2) | 48 (4) | 51 (4) | 66 (1) | 44 (5) | 36 (6) | 47 (5) | 13 | 15 | 27 | 16 | 48 | 42 | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Grey Doveb 3y 26 | I E Walker — 11% R249 W28 P112 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 53 | 34 (5) | 69 (2) | 35 (6) | 48 (3) | 55 (4) | 68 (1) | 40 (5) | 58 (3) | 54 (3) | 48 (4) | 25 | 21 | 27 | 15 | 50 | 37 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
The composite rank 1 dog and carries the highest speed rating in the field at 59 — Speed rank 1, the strongest predictor at A6 480m here where speed rank 1 wins 25.7% from 183 runs. Has been competing at A6 level consistently with nine course and distance runs and one win, with recent performances of 51, 60, 48, 57 showing a solid if unspectacular pattern. A Closer who will need the pace to develop but on a fair circuit at 480m, closers do get their chance. Trap 1 produces 18.1% here — modest but not prohibitive. The combination of composite rank 1 and speed rank 1 at a grade where speed is the most reliable predictor makes this the best analytical selection.
In the best-performing trap at A6 480m at Dunstall. The structural draw advantage is the primary reason to respect this runner despite modest model rankings.
Recent A7 win shows form but the step up to A6 combined with a weak trap makes this a difficult selection to back.
Good recent form at A7 but drawn in the worst structural trap at this grade. The 11.1% win rate from trap 3 here is too severe a disadvantage to ignore.
Steady course presence but a modest conversion rate. Speed rank 2 helps but the course and distance record does not stand above the main players.
No course and distance form and poor recent performances. The zero distance suitability highlights this is unfamiliar territory.
Trap 6 dominates at A6 480m — 24.6% from 122 runs. Trap 3 is the dead draw at 11.1%. Speed rank 1 wins 25.7% from 183 runs — the strongest single predictor at this grade. Composite rank 1 is weak at 18.8%, with rank 3 actually outperforming at 23.0%.
T1:18.1% T2:14.3% T3:11.1% T4:18.8% T5:18.2% T6:24.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Limekiln Pam | 46 | 100 | Closer |
2Firecrackerheidi | 53 | 22 | All-Rounder |
3Polerone Hottogo | 60 | 0 | Fader |
4Runbigmanrun | 47 | 62 | Closer |
5Pennys Mawu | 53 | 38 | All-Rounder |
6Grey Dove | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 480m | 660m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Limekiln Pam | 0.617 | 0.611 | — |
| 2 | Firecrackerheidi | 0.640 | 0.619 | — |
| 3 | Polerone Hottogo | 0.611 | 0.617 | — |
| 4 | Runbigmanrun | 0.614 | 0.618 | — |
| 5 | Pennys Mawu | — | 0.615 | — |
| 6 | Grey Dove | — | 0.614 | 0.627 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.