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The Pat O'Keeffe A3/A4 525 Stake Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Millridge Patsyb 2y 16 | - | - | 53 | - | 73 (2) | 75 (2) | 72 (3) | 50 (2) | 71 (2) | 77 (2) | 76 (2) | 50 (5) | 57 (3) | 84 (1) | 45 | 31 | 30 | 47 | 69 | 54 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Clonavanny Blued 1y 5 | Tony Winters — 0% R2 W0 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 75 (2) | 89 (1) | 57 (6) | 62 (4) | 67 (3) | 72 (2) | 70 (2) | 84 (1) | 42 (5) | 74 (2) | - | 44 | 16 | 44 | 71 | 57 | 1 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Super Sydd 3y 15 | - | - | 56 | - | 77 (3) | 75 (3) | 74 (4) | 77 (2) | 69 (3) | 61 (3) | 68 (4) | 82 (2) | 78 (2) | 57 (6) | 28 | 31 | - | 18 | 73 | 54 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Southwind Stormd 1y 15 | James Kelleher — 14% R7 W1 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 31 | - | 89 (1) | 90 (1) | 87 (1) | 53 (3) | 45 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 70 | 46 | 50 | 77 | 51 | 6 | 3/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Deelish Robynb 2y 15 | Gearoid O'Brien — 0% R3 W0 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 60 (3) | 75 (3) | 82 (2) | 79 (2) | 66 (3) | 74 (2) | 74 (2) | 71 (3) | 94 (1) | 60 (5) | 24 | 44 | 34 | 34 | 73 | 53 | 4 | 10/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Knockaloughd 1y 26 | Kieran Lynch — 50% R6 W3 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | - | 91 (1) | 63 (2) | 97 (1) | 88 (1) | 34 (5) | 52 (3) | - | - | - | - | 62 | 63 | 39 | 41 | 75 | 51 | 5 | 4/6 | |
Southwind Storm is the clear pick based on two consecutive dominant A3 wins at Curraheen Park, the highest average performance in the field at 77, and the best suitability scores for track (70) and class (46) of any runner. She won in 28.84s on 29 May (perf 89) and 28.70s on 22 May (perf 90), both faster than any rival has posted at this grade in recent form. She also won a S4 sprint in 17.86s on 24 April showing explosive early pace. Her track suitability of 70 is the highest in the race by a wide margin, confirming she is ideally suited to Curraheen Park. T4 carries 16.5% from 891 runs, slightly above field average. The only query is a low speed rating of 31, which appears anomalous given her winning times. Her back-to-back wins at this exact grade, distance and venue provide the most compelling statistical argument of any runner in this field.
Fastest time in field (28.63s, perf 91) with strong suitability scores. Genuine danger but prior inconsistency (34 perf, 63 perf before the 91) makes Storm the safer statistical pick.
Consistent placer with strong draw and suitability but five consecutive runner-up or third-place finishes without winning. DOMINANT draw earns a place, not a win against the top two today.
Likely front-runner with excellent Curraheen suitability but outclassed in a straight fight by Storm and Knockalough on peak performance scores.
Consistent form averaging 74 but poor distance suitability (18) and no Curraheen wins. Outclassed by Storm and Knockalough on peak scores.
Solid A2-A3 placer with track suitability (44) but DEAD trap draw and no recent wins. Place finish is the ceiling against Storm and Knockalough.
T1 DOMINANT at 21.6% from 893 runs benefits Millridge Patsy on draw. T5 DEAD at 13.3% from 905 runs disadvantages Deelish Robyn. LOW SEPARATION means individual form dominates: Storm two-peat wins at this grade and venue is decisive.
T1:21.6% T2:17.0% T3:15.5% T4:16.5% T5:13.3% T6:15.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.