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The David Fitzgibbon Memorial Open 525 Stake Semi-Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Droopys Croiab 2y 4 | John A. Linehan — 33% R3 W1 P2 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 39 (5) | 68 (1) | 40 (6) | 48 (3) | 54 (3) | 67 (1) | 52 (3) | 55 (3) | 69 (1) | 89 (2) | 38 | 32 | - | 36 | 54 | 51 | 4 | 4/6 | |
| 2 | ▶ Cosmic Dancerb 1y 34 | Brendan Maunsell — 33% R3 W1 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | - | 57 (5) | 88 (1) | 80 (2) | 68 (1) | 54 (3) | 61 (2) | - | - | - | - | 30 | - | - | - | 69 | 20 | 6 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Croydon Avengerd 1y 22 | Patrick Barrett — 0% R2 W0 P2 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | - | 52 (4) | 71 (1) | 61 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 61 | 22 | 1 | 9/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Shutinthedarkd 1y 26 | Kieran Lynch — 50% R6 W3 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 47 (4) | 42 (4) | 99 (1) | 79 (2) | 73 (4) | 63 (4) | 41 (4) | 54 (2) | - | - | - | 13 | - | 16 | 62 | 45 | 2 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballyverry Parisd 1y 22 | Patrick O'Connor — 0% R9 W0 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | - | 40 (6) | 40 (6) | 98 (1) | 88 (2) | 41 (6) | 68 (1) | - | - | - | - | 26 | - | - | 41 | 60 | 37 | 5 | 12/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballycowen Moond 2y 26 | Dean Harpur — 0% R2 W0 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 100 (1) | 59 (6) | 66 (3) | 73 (2) | 90 (2) | 37 (5) | 67 (5) | 84 (3) | 79 (2) | 73 (3) | 21 | 14 | - | 33 | 74 | 49 | 3 | 7/1 | |
Ballycowen Moon is the pick based on the highest average performance in the field at 74 and a standout A1 win on 29 May in 28.58s generating a performance rating of 100 — the maximum possible score. She has also been consistently placed at A2 level: 2nd with perf 73 on 25 April, 2nd with perf 90 on 18 April, and 2nd with perf 66 on 2 May. Her form arc shows sustained high-level performance at A2 and above across multiple months in 2026. Dropping from A1-A2 competition to AA0 represents a clear class relief. T6 at Curraheen carries the highest place rate in the field at 35.3% from 893 runs. Suitability scores show distance 33 as moderate, with track and trap at 14 and 21 respectively — less impressive than some rivals, but the raw form evidence at the top grades overrides modest suitability numbers. With LOW SEPARATION in composite rank data, a 100-perf A1 win is the decisive differentiator.
88-perf A3 win and consistent recent form make him the danger. T2 above average draw. But 100-perf A1 win from Ballycowen Moon is a higher performance benchmark.
DOMINANT draw but form collapsed immediately after her May win to a 39-perf 5th. Avg perf only 54. Draw advantage cannot overcome sharp form decline.
Moderate form with a 71-perf best, zero suitability scores and lengthy absence since April. Too much uncertainty to consider ahead of the top two.
99-perf A1 win but followed immediately by 47 and 42 perfs. Volatile form and poor Curraheen suitability make him unreliable despite latent ability.
DEAD trap and two consecutive 40-perf losses after a 98-perf win. Form collapse combined with worst draw makes her non-competitive today.
T1 DOMINANT at 21.6% from 893 runs — benefits Droopys Croia structurally. T5 DEAD at 13.3% from 905 runs — disadvantages Ballyverry Paris. LOW SEPARATION (3.2pp) means recent form performance dominates over trap position alone in this mixed-grade field.
T1:21.6% T2:17.0% T3:15.5% T4:16.5% T5:13.3% T6:15.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.