Tied best average performance in the field at 56 alongside Essex Gunner, and carries genuine ability into this race. A Closer with a consistent form profile and three course and distance runs. The critical problem is trap 6 at Yarmouth D1 277m — this box wins at just 12% from 25 runs, the worst draw in the grade by a significant margin. Over a 277m sprint where the race is often over in the first bend, starting from the widest box means giving every rival a significant positional advantage at the most critical phase of the race. The model identifies ability here but the trap position creates a severe execution barrier.