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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Naphillb 4y 15 | E G Samuels — 16% R655 W104 P363 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 57 | 41 (5) | 67 (2) | 68 (2) | 55 (3) | 62 (2) | 44 (4) | 64 (6) | 18 (3) | 60 (2) | - | 35 | 32 | 32 | 28 | 54 | 41 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Tis Toughd 2y 17 | R Fitch — 28% R61 W17 P41 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 40 | 75 (1) | 60 (3) | 54 (3) | 54 (5) | 55 (4) | 67 (4) | 51 (5) | 68 (2) | 51 (5) | 51 (6) | 38 | 23 | 5 | 24 | 60 | 42 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Diva Lunab 1y 16 | C R Morris — 28% R276 W78 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 53 | 55 (4) | 52 (4) | 66 (2) | 51 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 38 | 1 | 8/11F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Golden Dewdropd 1y 1 | K J Cobbold — 26% R167 W44 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | - | - | - | - | 39 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Melbury Lokid 2y 6 | M P Brown — 20% R411 W84 P235 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 48 | 72 (1) | 60 (1) | 37 (5) | 45 (3) | 38 (4) | 42 (4) | 38 (4) | 21 (4) | 11 (1) | - | 24 | 25 | - | 37 | 47 | 39 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
Drawn in one of the two best trap positions at this course and grade — trap 3 wins at 22.39% from 259 runs at Yarmouth A4 462m, and that structural advantage is meaningful over a big sample. Her trainer carries a 34% win rate which is exceptional and one of the highest on today's card — a strong signal of deliberate and well-timed placement. A Front Runner by profile, and while Yarmouth can catch out dogs who lead too early, four course and distance runs show she handles this track. Form of 55, 52, 66, 51 — peaked at 66 two runs back and has been consistently around A4 standard. The combination of best trap draw and top trainer is what the model is backing here.
Main danger — won last time, best form numbers, but drawn in the second worst trap at this grade.
Best course and distance record in the field but drawn in the worst trap at A4 — 13.19% win rate from 288 runs is a major structural barrier.
No wins from ten course and distance runs despite being competitive — difficult to fancy for win purposes.
Best trap draw but no form on record whatsoever — impossible to assess ability with any confidence.
T3 and T4 are the best traps at A4 Yarmouth 462m, both around 22%. T6 is the worst at 13.19%. Trap position carries genuine weight at this grade here. Trainer strike rate is a meaningful differentiator.
T3:22.39%(259r) T4:22.46%(285r) T1:18.09%(199r) T5:17.44%(258r) T2:16.6%(235r) T6:13.19%(288r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Naphill | 59 | 40 | Fader |
2Tis Tough | 37 | 79 | Closer |
3Diva Luna | 55 | 53 | Front Runner |
4Golden Dewdrop | — | — | No data |
6Melbury Loki | 45 | 47 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.