Kitmins Jessica drops from A1 company into this handicap and the class advantage is enormous. She was finishing third and fourth against the best dogs at Central Park — form that puts her streets ahead of this field on raw ability. She's a confirmed Closer with the best speed figure in the race and the equal-best closing speed, meaning she'll come from behind with a devastating late burst. The handicap stagger should in theory close the gap, but the quality differential is so large that even with a disadvantageous stagger, she should have too much for these. Her trap 6 position is the second-best in HP races and she has decent individual suitability. The only risk is the handicap itself doing its job too well — but the data says she's operating at a level above.