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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lillys A Ladyb 2y 17 | C Mcnicholas — 16% R522 W81 P268 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 61 | 54 (3) | 36 (6) | 37 (5) | 69 (1) | 52 (1) | 61 (3) | 49 (1) | 50 (2) | 25 (1) | - | 2 | 48 | 23 | 39 | 49 | 44 | 2 | 9/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Itsgiving Delulub 2y 6 | D Blackbird — 17% R1096 W186 P607 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 44 | 40 (6) | 68 (1) | 48 (4) | 51 (4) | 61 (2) | 55 (4) | 46 (5) | 44 (5) | 58 (3) | 56 (2) | 15 | 27 | 21 | 24 | 52 | 40 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Duggies Stitchb 2y 10 | G Strike — 18% R422 W77 P221 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 57 | 63 (1) | 55 (2) | 41 (6) | 62 (1) | 41 (4) | 36 (6) | 71 (1) | 41 (6) | 28 (6) | 39 (4) | 8 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 51 | 38 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Allowdale Bonod 4y 24 | J A Teal — 15% R215 W32 P112 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 43 | 23 (2) | 19 (4) | 46 (5) | 46 (5) | 43 (4) | 45 (5) | 47 (5) | 59 (6) | 47 (3) | - | 9 | 27 | 20 | 11 | 47 | 33 | 6 | 10/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Autumn Timeb 3y 18 | J A Teal — 15% R215 W32 P112 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 67 | 45 | 65 (1) | 48 (3) | 56 (3) | 51 (4) | 56 (3) | 54 (4) | 58 (2) | 63 (2) | 67 (5) | - | 9 | 26 | 13 | 29 | 57 | 47 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Chanceme Richid 2y 7 | S Linley — 16% R379 W62 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 49 | 42 (4) | 63 (1) | 52 (3) | 41 (5) | 63 (1) | 42 (6) | 36 (6) | 37 (5) | 63 (1) | 37 (5) | - | 29 | - | 30 | 49 | 43 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
The model's selection from trap 2 in an A6 field where the pace scenario may suit a late-running Closer. Recent form of P40, P68, P48, P51, P61, P55 contains a damaging P40 most recently but includes a P68 that shows genuine class at this level. As a Closer with a speed rating of 51, she will track the front-running Faders from trap 1 and trap 3 before producing her effort as they tire in the final stages of this 450-metre race. Trap 2 at Sunderland converts at 19.5% — a respectable draw that gives a clear run behind the early pace. The model identifies her closing speed as the decisive factor in a race where front-runners Lillys A Lady and Duggies Stitch may cancel each other out.
DANGER: Highest composite score, best speed rating, recent win at A7. Consistent form makes her the most credible threat to the selection.
Fastest early pace but inconsistent form — P36 and P37 outings undermine the case. May lead then tire.
Won lower grade recently but class rise and Fader profile means he may not last the 450 metres.
Recent 261m run irrelevant to today's trip. Prior 450m form insufficient. Hard to fancy.
Capable on a good day but runs below level too often. Too inconsistent to trust.
Sunderland 450m: Closers from mid-draws can benefit when pace-setters from T1/T3 burn themselves out in the first half of the race.
T1:20.2% T2:19.5% T3:20.4% T4:16.3% T5:17.4% T6:19.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Lillys A Lady | 64 | 14 | Fader |
2Itsgiving Delulu | 48 | 58 | Closer |
3Duggies Stitch | 58 | 26 | Fader |
4Allowdale Bono | 45 | 60 | Closer |
5Autumn Time | 42 | 77 | Closer |
6Chanceme Richi | 52 | 42 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lillys A Lady | — | 0.636 |
| 2 | Itsgiving Delulu | — | 0.630 |
| 3 | Duggies Stitch | — | 0.637 |
| 4 | Allowdale Bono | 0.634 | 0.631 |
| 5 | Autumn Time | — | 0.627 |
| 6 | Chanceme Richi | — | 0.633 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.