Jenningsbet Stayers Trophy ( Heat 2)
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Swift Deltab 4yN/R 32 | D P Brabon — 20% R363 W72 P214 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 38 | 60 (4) | 67 (3) | 58 (3) | 75 (2) | 50 (6) | 78 (4) | 69 (5) | 65 (3) | 77 (1) | 61 (4) | 6 | 19 | 18 | - | 65 | 35 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Bubbly Evieb 2y 45 | A W Dean — 33% R15 W5 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 79 | 100 | 79 (4) | 84 (2) | 87 (2) | 81 (2) | 59 (4) | 100 (1) | 68 (1) | 100 (6) | 52 (1) | - | 37 | 55 | 40 | 50 | 80 | 49 | 1 | 3/10F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Mongys Graceb 2y 26 | B G Backhurst — 17% R207 W36 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 34 | 100 (1) | 54 (5) | 57 (2) | 60 (5) | 55 (5) | 54 (6) | 73 (3) | 59 (5) | 45 (1) | 46 (4) | 46 | 12 | - | 27 | 66 | 45 | 4 | 28/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Princess Matildab 2y 26 | G E Evans — 21% R300 W64 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | 85 | 80 (3) | 99 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 87 (2) | 93 (2) | 60 | 63 | 52 | 64 | 95 | 74 | 2 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Reality Powerb 2y 17 | R M Emery — 11% R123 W14 P60 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 64 | 83 (2) | 84 (3) | 82 (2) | 71 (4) | 86 (3) | 82 (3) | 69 (5) | 99 (1) | 100 (1) | 77 (2) | 26 | 67 | 37 | 37 | 82 | 57 | 3 | 14/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Tempus Vincereb 3y 23 | J T Kingsley — 14% R133 W18 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 13 | 0 | 65 (2) | 66 (2) | 67 (2) | 61 (2) | 70 (5) | 79 (4) | 80 (4) | 69 (3) | 61 (3) | 64 (3) | 32 | - | - | - | 68 | 38 | 5 | 40/1 | - | |
Has the best speed rating in the field by a significant margin and a first bend rating of 100 — she goes well at the first corner and has genuine pace over staying trips. Her course and distance record at Central Park 664 metres reads two wins from two attempts, with a maximum-rated 100 performance there in March. Recent form over longer distances — 712 metres and 942 metres — shows rated performances of 79, 84, 87, and 81, which is consistent and classy. However, trap 2 wins just 5.88% from 17 runs at OR3 over 664 metres — the second-worst structural position in the race. She is a Closer who will arrive at the first bend behind the early movers, and at a circuit where that tends to close off the race to those at the back. On ability alone, she is the most dangerous opponent to the pick, but the draw is a serious obstacle.
Average performance rating of 95 — 13 points clear of the field. Five consecutive 100-rated runs. The form quality is exceptional enough to justify backing despite the poor draw.
Best structural trap but no 664m course form and a significant grade jump from A2. The draw is more useful than the dog here.
Won at a lower grade last time and inconsistent across grades. Not trustworthy enough in OR3 company.
Dependable place performer but has been unable to win at this course and distance despite consistent ratings. Likely another placed run.
Zero wins from T6 in 13 attempts, lowest speed in field, no 664m Central Park form. Impossible to recommend.
Dramatic trap bias in small sample (87 runs). T1 wins 35.71% (5 from 14), T6 zero from 13. Speed rank 1 wins 31.82% — primary signal. Composite rank weakly predictive at 19.35%.
T1:35.71% T2:5.88% T3:17.65% T4:7.69% T5:15.38% T6:0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 664m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Swift Delta | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Bubbly Evie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Mongys Grace | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Princess Matilda | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Reality Power | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Tempus Vincere | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 664m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (664m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 491m | 500m | 515m | 575m | 650m | 664m | 695m | 712m | 750m | 820m | 850m | 905m | 942m | 946m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bubbly Evie | 0.605 | — | — | 0.594 | 0.620 | — | 0.603 | — | 0.608 | 0.560 | — | — | — | 0.614 | — |
| 3 | Mongys Grace | — | 0.610 | — | — | — | 0.623 | 0.620 | — | — | — | 0.567 | 0.568 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Princess Matilda | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.607 | — | 0.602 | 0.630 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Reality Power | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.611 | — | — | — | — | — | 0.639 | 0.634 | 0.634 |
| 6 | Tempus Vincere | — | — | 0.600 | — | 0.629 | — | — | 0.616 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.