Steve Callahan Memorial Trophy
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
The form standout of this field by a clear margin — rated 100 twice, rated 86, and rated 100 again across her last four completed races at OR and OR3 grade, primarily over 575 metres. An average performance rating of 88 is six points clear of the next-best runner, and those peak ratings of 100 demonstrate she operates at the very top of what is achievable in these races. She drops back from 575 metres to 491 metres today, which as a Closer actually suits — she will have more time to build her challenge over the shorter trip than she would over staying distances where early leaders can set bigger margins. Her two appearances at Central Park over 491 metres produced two placed finishes, showing she has handled the course before. The quality gap between her recent form and the rest of this field is significant enough that even allowing for the shorter trip and the tight first bend, she looks the most likely winner. Trainer Mullins has a 16 per cent win rate — average — but the dog's form speaks for itself.
Won last time at OR grade, in a good draw, with a top trainer. Main danger if the closers get a run.
Fastest in the field but worst trap and no course experience. Raw pace alone is not enough at Central Park.
Very consistent but appears to have a ceiling just below winning level. Hard to back for the win.
Has course experience from 10 runs but below-par recent form and a lengthy absence. Hard to trust.
Best draw in the race but five months off the track and a very low speed rating make her too risky.
T6 and T4 are the strongest draws at OR grade 491m (19.85% and 19.01%). T1 is the structural dead draw at 14.08% from 142 runs. Composite rank 1 wins 22.51% — a reasonable signal. Speed rank 1 wins 21.07%.
T1:14.08% T2:18.46% T3:16.79% T4:19.01% T5:14.18% T6:19.85%