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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Savana Kommenod 3y 5 | P Tsirigotis — 19% R57 W11 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 27 | 49 (4) | 69 (1) | 70 (1) | 54 (3) | 69 (3) | 66 (1) | 49 (1) | 49 (3) | 46 (4) | - | 48 | 34 | 37 | 47 | 62 | 51 | 6 | 9/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Railwayclub Bobd 2y 15 | K J Crocker — 15% R143 W22 P77 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 62 | 71 (2) | 57 (3) | 81 (1) | 60 (4) | 68 (2) | 87 (1) | 61 (4) | 56 (6) | 83 (1) | 67 (3) | 3 | - | 40 | - | 68 | 41 | 2 | 5/4F | ||
| 3 | ▶ El Prez Elsieb 2y 16 | V A Lea — 15% R187 W28 P75 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 64 | 42 (5) | 48 (5) | 55 (4) | 54 (3) | 57 (4) | 66 (2) | 72 (2) | 58 (4) | 63 (4) | 68 (2) | 10 | 33 | 29 | 18 | 57 | 43 | 1 | 11/4 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Salacres Saharad 2y 18 | P H Harnden — 18% R394 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 49 | 53 (4) | 71 (1) | 49 (3) | 57 (2) | 59 (2) | 54 (3) | 33 (2) | 52 (5) | 42 (3) | - | 20 | 24 | 12 | 33 | 55 | 43 | 5 | 8/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Vinegarhill Blued 3y 17 | A Ioannou — 13% R90 W12 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 51 | 75 (1) | 42 (4) | 71 (2) | 49 (5) | 68 (2) | 57 (3) | 73 (1) | 63 (3) | 60 (3) | 63 (3) | 27 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 58 | 44 | 4 | 7/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Chelms Jacobd 4y 17 | P H Harnden — 18% R394 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 29 | 74 (1) | 42 (6) | 63 (2) | 76 (1) | 64 (3) | 51 (5) | 53 (3) | 72 (1) | 58 (2) | 47 (5) | 33 | 29 | 20 | 37 | 62 | 52 | 3 | 10/3 | ||
Chelms Jacob holds the field's clearest speed rank 1 at 56 — 5 points ahead of the next-ranked El Prez Elsie — in a 500m race where pace leadership is the primary structural advantage. He is the in-grade A4 specialist in this field: won A4 on 7 May (P76, pos 1) and placed 2nd on 13 May (P63, pos 2) at this exact trip. His three most recent A4 runs show a consistent high level of A4 performance (P64, P76, P63) while rivals are either stepping up from A5 or placing at lower performance ratings. T6 draw at 16.8% is the structural reservation — the worst trap probability at 500m — but at A4 grade, the speed rank 1 advantage at 500m (35.8% when pace leads) is a significant countervailing force. The selection argument is straightforward: proven A4 winner at this trip last week, speed rank 1 by a clear margin, and in-grade consistency versus two class-promotion rivals and two step-down place-getters.
Two A5 wins in a row is compelling form momentum — the main threat to the pick if class barrier does not apply. Speed deficit is the question.
Consistent A4 performer — each-way interest. Speed rank deficit to pick limits his outright winning case.
T3 draw is the appeal but recent A4 form declining. Speed rank 3rd insufficient to generate a winning case today.
Best performance rating in the race but lowest speed rank and below-average draw. A5 form may not translate to A4 pace demands.
Established A4 runner with recent 2nd — each-way interest. Speed rank behind the selection prevents primary consideration.
T6 carries the lowest trap probability at 500m (16.8%) but speed rank 1 at A4 is a compensating structural edge. A4 is stepping-stone grade from A5 — class promotion dogs need assessment.
T3:23.6% T1:22.1% T2:21.3% T5:20.8% T4:17.4% T6:16.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Savana Kommeno | 36 | 81 | Closer |
2Railwayclub Bob | 45 | 100 | Closer |
3El Prez Elsie | 62 | 5 | Fader |
4Salacres Sahara | 55 | 12 | Fader |
5Vinegarhill Blue | 59 | 19 | Fader |
6Chelms Jacob | 36 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.