Orchestrate @Stud AAO 525
Model does not predict this race
Open-grade races at Shelbourne Park are not predicted — insufficient model signal for elite open competition
This race is excluded from all accuracy and results tracking.
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Boltaway Winkd 1y 16 | Ian Reilly — 14% R29 W4 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 72 (1) | 57 (2) | 68 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 32 | - | - | 24 | 66 | 41 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Fahrenheit Aced 1y 13 | Graham Holland — 26% R46 W12 P27 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | - | 49 (6) | 68 (1) | 69 (1) | 59 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 19 | 15 | 6 | 37 | 61 | 37 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Carrick Yorkyd 1y 34 | David Murray — 17% R41 W7 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 73 (3) | 91 (1) | 73 (2) | 80 (2) | 51 (4) | 66 (1) | - | - | - | - | 12 | 28 | - | 25 | 74 | 40 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballymac Scheffd 1y 23 | Liam Dowling — 20% R20 W4 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 79 (2) | 80 (2) | 75 (2) | 76 (2) | 67 (2) | 68 (1) | 69 (1) | - | - | - | 38 | 40 | 16 | 41 | 75 | 52 | 6 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Outlaw Oscard 1y 24 | Jack Kennelly — 33% R18 W6 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 62 (4) | 66 (3) | 94 (1) | 50 (3) | 64 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 20 | 67 | 36 | 3 | 13/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Croydon Webb 1y 14 | Patrick Barrett — 14% R7 W1 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 54 (3) | 69 (1) | 48 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 57 | 20 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
The pick on the basis of exceptional consistency that stands out clearly in a novice field. Six recent runs all falling between 67 and 80 — the full trajectory reads 79, 80, 75, 76, 67, 68 from newest to oldest. This kind of reliability in a novice race is extremely rare; this dog simply does not have bad days. Average performance of 75 is the joint highest in the field alongside Ballymac Charbel. Most recently placed second with 79 and 80 in consecutive outings at AA0 525m, showing she is right at the level needed to win. Trainer Liam Dowling at 19 percent is modest but the form record does the talking here. One course and distance run without a win, but the overall profile of consistency and form level makes this the most reliable selection in the race. If the form simply repeats, she is right in the picture.
Best form peak in the race at 91 and proven course and distance experience. Main danger to the selection and capable of winning if at that level.
Recent winner but from a lower grade, modest trainer record, and no course and distance experience. Mid-tier chance.
Disappointing most recent run of 49. Hard to back until the form picks back up.
Strong trainer at 38% with a course and distance win. Peak form of 94 is well above recent form — the trainer angle is the key reason to include this one.
Weakest form figures in the race and no course and distance experience. Outsider on current evidence.
Only 24 runs in the dataset for AA0 525m — statistically unreliable. Trap 1 has a superficially impressive record from 4 runs only. Individual form quality and recency are far more useful here than the condition data.
T1:75% T2:25% T3:0% T4:0% T5:0% T6:0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 400m | 525m | 550m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boltaway Wink | — | — | 0.545 | — |
| 2 | Fahrenheit Ace | — | — | 0.549 | — |
| 3 | Carrick Yorky | — | 0.540 | 0.546 | — |
| 4 | Ballymac Scheff | 0.541 | — | 0.546 | 0.544 |
| 5 | Outlaw Oscar | — | — | 0.552 | 0.551 |
| 6 | Croydon Web | — | — | 0.548 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.