Tullamore Steel & Gas Limited AO 525
Model does not predict this race
Open-grade races at Shelbourne Park are not predicted — insufficient model signal for elite open competition
This race is excluded from all accuracy and results tracking.
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Roaming Shelbyd 1y 13 | Graham Holland — 26% R46 W12 P27 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 51 (4) | 67 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 | 23 | - | 20 | 58 | 31 | 1 | 11/10 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Group Gunboatd 1y 2 | Marie Gilbert — 30% R10 W3 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 24 | - | 30 (6) | 67 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 31 | 47 | 30 | 47 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Magical Warriord 1y 16 | Paul Hennessy — 26% R31 W8 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 69 (5) | 54 (3) | 55 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 60 | 21 | 5 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Grouchos Frankd 1y 17 | Pat Buckley — 29% R24 W7 P15 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 96 (1) | 74 (4) | 47 (4) | 61 (2) | 61 (3) | 71 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | 10 | 23 | 71 | 40 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Callaway Ryderd 1y 13 | Owen McKenna — 22% R9 W2 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 67 (5) | 43 (5) | 59 (2) | 55 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 56 | 20 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Droopys Unreald 1y 12 | Ian Reilly — 14% R29 W4 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 98 (1) | 66 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 | 40 | 18 | 40 | 83 | 50 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
The standout selection on tonight's card — a dog who won at A1 grade, one step above today's A0 company, with a 98-rated performance just last Friday. Stepping down in class with the best recent form in the race is an extremely powerful combination. The form trajectory reads 98, 66 from newest to oldest — two runs recorded, both at Shelbourne 525m, both resulting in wins. That is a 100 percent course and distance record of two wins from two attempts. Average performance of 83 is the highest in the field by a clear margin, and the 98-rated run at A1 suggests the true level is well above what A0 can offer on its best day. Trainer Ian Reilly's 9 percent win rate is the one note of caution, as is the fact that trap 6 wins 17 percent at A0 525m here — below the best positions. But when a dog has won its last two runs at this exact course and distance, one of them in a higher grade, the form quality overrides structural concerns about the draw. She is the one to beat.
Best draw in the race, strong trainer at 33%, and a 96-rated win at this course and distance. The only dog who can realistically trouble the selection on current form.
Some course experience and a decent trainer but form is well below the class performers in this race.
Recent performance of 30 is the lowest form figure in the race. Very difficult to recommend on current evidence.
Worst draw in the race at 13% for trap 3, no course and distance wins, and out-classed by the selection. Hard to see a path to victory.
No course and distance experience and inconsistent recent form. Difficult to recommend against stronger performers.
From 644 runs at A0 525m, trap 4 is marginally the best draw at 20 percent and trap 3 the worst at 13 percent. Composite rank 1 underperforms significantly at 17 percent — the second-rated dog wins 24 percent. Individual form quality and class level are better guides than the model ranking at this combination.
T1:19% T2:18% T3:13% T4:20% T5:15% T6:17%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 525m | 550m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roaming Shelby | 0.546 | — |
| 2 | Group Gunboat | 0.553 | — |
| 3 | Magical Warrior | 0.551 | — |
| 4 | Grouchos Frank | 0.549 | — |
| 5 | Callaway Ryder | 0.549 | 0.546 |
| 6 | Droopys Unreal | 0.543 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.