Clongeel Sminky is the star of tonight's card. Back-to-back A1 wins with sensational performances of 92 and 90 mark him out as a dog at the very top of his game. His average performance of 80 is comfortably the best in the field, and he occupies the massively dominant trap four — which produces a remarkable 27.3% of winners from 165 runs, over ten percentage points above the expected rate. His early pace gets him to the front, and while his fading profile might be a concern elsewhere, his class edge is so significant that even if he weakens slightly from the third bend, nobody in this field has the ability to catch him. His individual trap suitability of 57 confirms he thrives from this box, and his course suitability of 51 is strong. When the best dog in the race sits in the most powerful draw, you have convergence — and this is as clean a convergence as you'll find anywhere on tonight's cards.