Clearest overall pointer in the race: highest average performance (59) and best speed (53) combined with a solid T2 draw (17.5%). Track suitability of 33 is decent. The performance and speed leadership in the field are the primary factors and both clearly point here. In a late-card race on a full evening programme where subtle form edges matter, having the clearest numerical advantage gives the most reliable read. T2 is a functional draw that gives a reasonable early position in a five-runner field. The straightforward pick at the end of a long card.