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DAVID HYLTON'S 50th BIRTHDAY STAKES
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Colossusd 1yREP 4 | R Taberner — 20% R746 W151 P423 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 44 | 47 (5) | 42 (5) | 65 (2) | 74 (1) | 46 (3) | 71 (1) | 52 (3) | 54 (3) | - | - | 35 | 27 | 15 | 26 | 55 | 45 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Waitininthewingsd 3yREP 35 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R622 W120 P350 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 48 | 56 (3) | 78 (2) | 75 (2) | 70 (2) | 80 (2) | 80 (2) | 77 (2) | 68 (4) | 69 (3) | 48 (5) | 46 | - | - | - | 71 | 41 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Cashin Nellb 1yREP 6 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R622 W120 P350 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 51 | 52 (5) | 65 (3) | 66 (2) | 74 (1) | 48 (5) | 62 (2) | - | - | - | - | 17 | 46 | 23 | 30 | 61 | 52 | 1 | 1/1F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Longacres Diddyd 2yREP 5 | P J Doocey — 16% R146 W23 P77 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 42 | 57 (3) | 49 (4) | 62 (4) | 61 (3) | 59 (5) | 63 (3) | 64 (4) | 68 (2) | 58 (5) | 62 (4) | 17 | 44 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 48 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hitit Agendavyd 2yN/RREP 5 | J B Thompson — 19% R523 W100 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 73 | 58 (6) | 52 (4) | 59 (5) | 45 (5) | 87 (6) | 63 (1) | 56 (3) | 68 (6) | 61 (3) | - | 38 | 37 | - | 18 | 60 | 57 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Longacres Bertied 1yREP 8 | P J Doocey — 16% R146 W23 P77 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 57 | 63 (2) | 74 (1) | 64 (2) | 55 (4) | 69 (1) | 51 (4) | 45 (5) | 41 (5) | 64 (1) | 45 (3) | 31 | 32 | 23 | 44 | 60 | 49 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
The clearest overall case in a race where suitability matters most. Track suitability of 46 is the highest among runners in functional draw positions and signals a genuine affinity for Monmore conditions. Average performance of 61 and speed of 54 are solid for A4 level. T3 at 19.0% is the third-best structural position — very close to the T1 and T2 draws. First-bend of 51 is decent. The combination of good course form, respectable speed and a solid draw gives Cashin Nell the most well-rounded case in the field once Waitininthewings is discounted on suitability grounds.
DANGER: Second-best track suitability. Very close to the pick — the most likely winner if Cashin Nell disappoints.
Best draw but insufficient pace to convert it. Unlikely to win at this grade.
Best form elsewhere but track suitability zero means Monmore is consistently unfavourable. Cannot recommend.
Best pace in the field but worst draw. The great injustice of the race — excellent ability, terrible trap.
Honest runner without the edge to win against the pick and danger.
T1 dominant at 20.5%, T5 weakest at 13.1%. Waitininthewings (T2) flagged by zero track suitability. Hitit Agendavy (T5) has best speed and bend but worst draw. Cashin Nell (T3) balances track suitability and decent speed.
T1:20.5% T2:17.5% T3:19.0% T4:15.0% T5:13.1% T6:17.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Aero Colossus | 40 | 67 | Closer |
2Waitininthewings | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Cashin Nell | 52 | 54 | All-Rounder |
4Longacres Diddy | 46 | 53 | All-Rounder |
5Hitit Agendavy | 71 | 0 | Fader |
6Longacres Bertie | 48 | 47 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 480m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aero Colossus | 0.608 | — |
| 2 | Waitininthewings | 0.607 | 0.596 |
| 3 | Cashin Nell | 0.603 | — |
| 4 | Longacres Diddy | 0.605 | 0.600 |
| 6 | Longacres Bertie | 0.608 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.