The Slan Abhaile A2 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Highview Elegantd 2y 14 | Paraic Campion — 15% R39 W6 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 89 (1) | 56 (5) | 73 (2) | 51 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | 18 | - | 31 | 69 | 48 | 4 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Tyrap Bubblesb 1y 24 | - | - | 55 | - | 94 (1) | 71 (3) | 53 (5) | 67 (5) | 84 (2) | 54 (5) | 90 (1) | 66 (2) | 71 (4) | 90 (1) | 12 | 52 | 23 | 42 | 74 | 53 | 2 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Tally Ho Flyitd 3y 24 | - | - | 46 | - | 93 (1) | 67 (3) | 71 (3) | 62 (5) | 76 (2) | 76 (3) | 63 (4) | 55 (6) | 66 (5) | 59 (5) | 20 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 72 | 31 | 3 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Vigorous Jessieb 3y 33 | - | - | 38 | - | 47 (6) | 56 (5) | 93 (1) | 67 (5) | 51 (6) | 56 (5) | 63 (4) | 92 (1) | 63 (4) | 63 (4) | 26 | 24 | 16 | 4 | 63 | 35 | 5 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Bright Morgan? ? 16 | - | - | 60 | - | 84 (2) | 94 (1) | 81 (2) | 70 (3) | 36 (2) | 26 (4) | 69 (4) | 72 (2) | 90 (1) | 65 (3) | 28 | 37 | 36 | 44 | 80 | 59 | 1 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Airfield Katieb 4y 44 | - | - | 37 | - | 46 (6) | 46 (6) | 53 (6) | 92 (1) | 51 (6) | 72 (2) | 65 (3) | 69 (3) | 57 (5) | 46 (5) | 32 | 30 | - | 15 | 58 | 19 | 6 | - | - | |
The standout performer on sustained recent form. Three consecutive runs at A2 over 525 metres have produced ratings of 84 in second place, 94 in first place, and 81 in second place — the most consistent high-level A2 form of any runner in this field. The average performance of 80 is the highest in the race and the speed rating of 60 tops the field. Before the A2 sequence, earlier runs at D-grade over 750 metres show lower scores, but those are clearly irrelevant to the current form trajectory. This dog has been running at the right distance, right grade, and getting better results with each campaign. Trap 5 at Limerick A2 wins 14.4% — a moderate structural draw that is comfortably ahead of the worst positions. The composite model's top selection. The form argument is compelling enough to prefer this dog over the better structural draws who lack the sustained A2 credentials.
Best structural trap but stepping up from A3 with a thin record. Trap advantage real but form below the established A2 performers.
Best form on paper with a 94 last time, but trap 2 at Limerick A2 is a structural obstacle of the highest order. Cannot recommend despite the form.
Won at A2 in April, class suitability strong, but two months off and speed below the top runners. Mid-field at best.
Second-best structural draw but poor recent form and a long absence. Good form in the bank from A1 level is a positive for the future, not tonight.
Consistent last-place finisher at A1-A2 level in recent form, long absence, lowest speed in field. Cannot recommend.
Trap 1 is dominant at 25.6% at Limerick A2 from 86 runs. Trap 2 is the structural death draw at 7.8%. Composite R1 wins just 12.9% — below-average at A2 Limerick. Speed rank 1 at 22.8% and rank 2 at 26.7% are the more reliable metrics.
T1:25.6%(86) T2:7.8%(90) T3:14.3%(91) T4:20.9%(91) T5:14.4%(90) T6:14.4%(90)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 525m | 550m | 575m | 600m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Highview Elegant | 0.558 | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Tyrap Bubbles | 0.556 | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Tally Ho Flyit | 0.562 | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Vigorous Jessie | 0.559 | 0.554 | 0.554 | — | — |
| 5 | Bright Morgan | 0.552 | — | — | 0.550 | 0.575 |
| 6 | Airfield Katie | 0.561 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.