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The 2026 TIME Club Derby A4 525 Round 4 Heat 1
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Trumpers Snoopd 2y 15 | - | - | 53 | - | 87 (1) | 85 (1) | 67 (2) | 83 (1) | 66 (4) | 65 (2) | 54 (2) | 50 (2) | - | - | 5 | 50 | 59 | 65 | 74 | 55 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Kells Rubyd 1y 16 | Thomas Leahy — 33% R3 W1 P2 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 89 (1) | 69 (2) | 65 (3) | 63 (2) | 64 (2) | 65 (3) | 47 (5) | 69 (1) | 61 (1) | - | 22 | 37 | 33 | 43 | 69 | 50 | 1 | 6/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Imagine Ifd 1y 15 | - | - | 49 | - | 88 (1) | 69 (2) | 60 (3) | 48 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | 40 | 16 | 32 | 69 | 49 | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Gortkelly Bartd 1y 15 | - | - | 50 | - | 70 (3) | 70 (3) | 85 (1) | 64 (3) | 37 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 23 | 20 | 16 | 67 | 47 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Millmount Jackod 2y 6 | - | - | 48 | - | 71 (2) | 57 (3) | 66 (2) | 47 (6) | 42 (6) | 43 (6) | 70 (2) | 78 (2) | 70 (1) | 47 (4) | 14 | 34 | 17 | 32 | 59 | 46 | 6 | 12/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Zaconey Adonisd 3y 14 | - | - | 50 | - | 69 (3) | 56 (4) | 58 (5) | 56 (5) | 68 (3) | 54 (6) | 75 (2) | 73 (2) | 53 (4) | 61 (4) | 15 | - | 14 | 10 | 62 | 46 | 3 | 14/1 | - | |
The model's top pick and the selection on the basis of her most recent run — a win at Limerick 525m from trap 2, the same position she occupies tonight. Winning from trap 2 at Limerick is meaningful evidence: in the aggregate, trap 2 is the lowest-performing box at this track (around 8-10% win rate), yet this dog overcame that structural disadvantage to win last time. That demonstrates individual course-specific ability beyond what the trap draw would suggest. Her last three runs read win-place-placed (1-2-3), a model of consistency. Average performance of 69 and course/distance suitability of track=37%, distance=43% reflect a solid A4-level performer. The concern is that Trumpers Snoop has higher suitability metrics and a marginally better composite score, and draws from a structurally superior trap tonight. However, recency of winning form matters — Kells Ruby won last time, and that winning form from the same trap at the same track and distance is the decisive differentiator. Selected at Strong confidence.
The strongest counter-argument in the race. Superior composite, top suitability, excellent draw. Very likely to be involved in a tight finish.
Well-drawn and consistent but lacks the edge over the top two. Place potential.
Poor course suitability and weaker draw despite a recent win. Others preferred.
Regular placer but no recent win and weakest average performance in the field. Each-way interest only.
Declining Limerick form and no course/distance record. Not in the reckoning.
Recent winning form at Limerick 525m is the strongest predictor in this field. Structural trap bias favours T3 and T1, but individual course-specific performance overrides aggregate trap stats. Dog who won from T2 last time shows trap disadvantage can be overcome by individual ability.
T1:20-22% T2:8-10% T3:22-23% T4:10-13% T5:10-13% T6:12-15%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 330m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trumpers Snoop | 0.562 | 0.552 | 0.557 |
| 2 | Kells Ruby | — | — | 0.563 |
| 3 | Imagine If | — | — | 0.559 |
| 4 | Gortkelly Bart | — | — | 0.561 |
| 5 | Millmount Jacko | — | — | 0.563 |
| 6 | Zaconey Adonis | — | — | 0.561 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.