The 2026 TIME Club Derby A4 525 Semi-Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bounceback Poppyb 2y 13 | - | - | 49 | - | 77 (2) | 57 (3) | 68 (3) | 43 (6) | 60 (4) | 37 (6) | 44 (4) | - | - | - | 5 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 44 | 6 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Eimears Ladyb 2y 15 | Brian Robinson(NI) — 11% R9 W1 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 72 (3) | 74 (2) | 85 (1) | 84 (1) | 62 (6) | 67 (2) | 49 (3) | 55 (6) | 69 (6) | - | 21 | 46 | 34 | 47 | 71 | 56 | 1 | 5/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Kerryroad Ald 2y 15 | Kevin McLean — 21% R24 W5 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 63 (4) | 88 (1) | 65 (2) | 58 (4) | 51 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | 28 | 26 | 29 | 67 | 50 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Carrigmore Hazelb 1y 13 | - | - | 48 | - | 54 (4) | 87 (1) | 71 (3) | 70 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 23 | 20 | 18 | 70 | 48 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Millmount Jackod 2y 4 | - | - | 48 | - | 62 (3) | 71 (2) | 57 (3) | 66 (2) | 47 (6) | 42 (6) | 43 (6) | 70 (2) | 78 (2) | 70 (1) | 12 | 31 | 14 | 27 | 60 | 46 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Private Lunab 1y 14 | John Byrne — 33% R15 W5 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 88 (1) | 63 (3) | 59 (4) | 68 (3) | 59 (3) | 39 (5) | 41 (6) | 50 (2) | - | - | - | 17 | 17 | 22 | 63 | 44 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
The most consistently high-performing runner in this field — her form sequence (72, 74, 85, 84, 62, 67) shows she has run in the 70s and 80s regularly, with a peak of 85. The last four runs have averaged close to 79, which is well above the field norm at A4 grade. She has the highest speed rating in the field at 56 and the highest average performance at 71. Two wins from four course and distance starts is a strong record here. Her trainer records 14 per cent — modest, but the form speaks louder than the trainer figure tonight. The one limitation is trap 2, which historically wins only 15.9% at Limerick A4 — below the structural average — but her consistent form quality over the known competition makes her the most reliable selection on the card for this race.
Danger: Won last time out with a performance of 88 and has a 36% trainer — a genuine threat from a poor draw. The structural disadvantage of trap 6 (11.4%) is the main obstacle.
Improving form trend (77 last time) but average performance below the top runners — likely a placer rather than winner at this grade.
Best structural draw in the race (23.4%) but form average trails the selection — the trap advantage is real but not enough to pick him over a clearly better-performed rival.
Worst structural draw in the race (10.7%) and recent form dipped to 54 — the combination of poor draw and below-par recent form makes this hard to recommend.
Most course and distance experience on the card but only one win from ten starts — primarily a placer at this track. Below-average draw compounds the challenge.
Trap 3 dominates at 23.4% from 1,054 runs but the composite model is flat across all ranks at 19%. Speed rank 1 is the best predictor at 21.6%. Trap 4 is the weakest draw at 10.7%.
T1:20.2% T2:15.9% T3:23.4% T4:10.7% T5:13.1% T6:11.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 330m | 525m | 550m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bounceback Poppy | — | 0.557 | — |
| 2 | Eimears Lady | — | 0.558 | — |
| 3 | Kerryroad Al | — | 0.558 | — |
| 4 | Carrigmore Hazel | — | 0.556 | — |
| 5 | Millmount Jacko | — | 0.561 | — |
| 6 | Private Luna | 0.565 | 0.562 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.