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The 2026 TIME Club Derby A4 525 Semi-Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Rossa Shelbyb 2y 12 | Thomas O'Donovan — 20% R5 W1 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 71 (3) | 63 (2) | 80 (2) | 59 (5) | 58 (5) | 57 (6) | 78 (2) | 78 (1) | 56 (2) | 44 (4) | 23 | 28 | 24 | 27 | 66 | 49 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Gortkelly Bartd 1y 14 | - | - | 51 | - | 75 (2) | 70 (3) | 70 (3) | 85 (1) | 64 (3) | 37 (5) | - | - | - | - | 21 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 69 | 51 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Imagine Ifd 1y 15 | - | - | 47 | - | 87 (1) | 88 (1) | 69 (2) | 60 (3) | 48 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | 29 | 61 | 52 | 51 | 74 | 53 | 2 | 6/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Kells Rubyd 1y 14 | Thomas Leahy — 25% R4 W1 P2 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 61 (4) | 89 (1) | 69 (2) | 65 (3) | 63 (2) | 64 (2) | 65 (3) | 47 (5) | 69 (1) | 61 (1) | 31 | 28 | 27 | 36 | 67 | 46 | 5 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Musical Queenb 1y 14 | - | - | 52 | - | 76 (2) | 65 (3) | 72 (3) | 60 (4) | 51 (3) | 62 (1) | 40 (4) | - | - | - | 8 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 64 | 47 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Bundle Of Fiversd 2y 15 | - | - | 56 | - | 86 (1) | 78 (2) | 85 (1) | 74 (2) | 55 (5) | 58 (4) | 50 (4) | - | - | - | 45 | 54 | 52 | 52 | 73 | 58 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
The main rival to the selection — won last time out here at A4 with a performance of 86, one point below the pick's most recent run. Her form trajectory (86, 78, 85, 74, 55, 58) is one of the most impressive improving sequences on tonight's card, with the last four runs all 74 or above. Two wins from five course and distance starts is a solid record. She has the highest speed rating in the field at 56 — a genuine pace advantage that could be decisive if she can slot into a clear run. The significant concern is trap 6, which wins only 11.4% at Limerick A4 from 1,054 historical runs — the second-worst structural draw. Against a rival with identical recent winning form but occupying the best structural trap, the wide draw is a meaningful disadvantage.
PICK (Medium): Best structural draw (23.4%), back-to-back wins of 87 and 88 at course and distance, two wins from three course and distance starts, highest average performance — the most complete case in this race.
Decent draw and reasonable form but no course and distance wins from three starts — more likely to place than win here.
Consistent placer here (second last time) but below-average draw and four starts with one win — reliable but hard to favour as the winner.
Highest individual peak (89) in this field but in the worst structural draw (10.7%) and most recent run was below par at 61 — needs that top form again from an unfavourable box.
Placed second last time and improving form — but no course and distance wins from four starts and a below-average structural draw makes winning a challenge.
Trap 3 dominates at 23.4% from 1,054 runs. Composite model is flat (all ranks within 1% of each other). Speed rank 1 is the best metric at 21.6%. Traps 4, 5, and 6 are all significantly below the average win rate at this grade.
T1:20.2% T2:15.9% T3:23.4% T4:10.7% T5:13.1% T6:11.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 330m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rossa Shelby | 0.550 | 0.560 |
| 2 | Gortkelly Bart | — | 0.559 |
| 3 | Imagine If | — | 0.557 |
| 4 | Kells Ruby | — | 0.562 |
| 5 | Musical Queen | — | 0.563 |
| 6 | Bundle Of Fivers | — | 0.557 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.