| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Townsend Jillb 4y 16 | M Mavrias — 16% R305 W48 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | - | 13 (6) | 17 (6) | 31 (1) | 29 (1) | 13 (5) | 23 (3) | 21 (5) | 19 (5) | 16 (5) | 21 (4) | 9 | 14 | 12 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 6 | 28/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Stophers Doritob 4y 26 | G L Davidson — 14% R227 W31 P101 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 20 (4) | 22 (4) | 25 (4) | 31 (2) | 31 (2) | 31 (2) | 26 (5) | 30 (2) | 29 (3) | 34 (1) | 22 | 22 | 14 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Footfield Betsyb 3y 42 | B G Backhurst — 16% R209 W33 P109 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 48 | 50 (3) | 47 (2) | 61 (1) | 52 (2) | 56 (2) | 56 (1) | 55 (2) | 55 (2) | 56 (2) | 50 (3) | 42 | 11 | - | - | 53 | 14 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Toems Sadieb 4y 27 | D O Pearce — 22% R118 W26 P70 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 51 | 25 (3) | 46 (5) | 51 (2) | 32 (3) | 58 (5) | 58 (2) | 49 (2) | 37 (3) | 68 (5) | - | 2 | - | 18 | - | 44 | 24 | 4 | 15/8JF | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Lively Gezzab 1y 33 | B G Backhurst — 16% R209 W33 P109 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 48 | 29 (3) | 43 (2) | 41 (2) | 42 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 | 5 | - | - | 38 | 11 | 5 | 15/8JF | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hollyhill Melodyb 3y 27 | N F Carter — 17% R257 W43 P136 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 100 | 15 (6) | 32 (6) | 23 (2) | 19 (5) | 58 (6) | 45 (2) | 62 (6) | 68 (3) | 68 (2) | - | 37 | 32 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 15 | 3 | 12/1 | - | |
The most striking profile on the Central Park card today: a dog dropping from A6 into D4 — a class drop of such magnitude that it raises the question of whether this animal belongs in this company at all. Footfield Betsy brings the highest speed rating and composite score in a D4 field that is clearly inferior in class terms, and is drawn in trap 3 which wins 21.48% at this grade — the second-best position available. The 88-day layoff is the single note of caution: returning dogs can take time to find peak form, and a long absence followed by a D4 class drop can sometimes suggest management of a minor issue. However, the class superiority here is so substantial that even running at 80% of best form should be sufficient at D4 level. The combination of second-best draw, best speed, best composite, and massive class drop makes this the selection, with the Tentative confidence reflecting the layoff concern and the tight rivalry with Stophers Dorito from the best draw.
Best draw in the race. Genuine danger and would be pick without the class-drop rival.
Second-worst draw at D4. Near-impossible without exceptional ability.
Decent draw but outclassed by the top two. Place candidate.
Worst draw at D4 277m. Structural near-impossibility.
Below-average draw and form. Minor role.
2,138 D4 277m runs. T2 dominant (22.1%), T3 second (21.5%), T4 strong (19.6%), T1 and T5 catastrophic (10.3% and 10.1%). Complete reversal from D3/D5 patterns. Inside-mid draws dominate D4 sprints.
T1:10.3% T2:22.1% T3:21.5% T4:19.6% T5:10.1% T6:16.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (277m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 277m | 450m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Townsend Jill | — | 0.628 | — | — |
| 2 | Stophers Dorito | — | 0.615 | — | — |
| 3 | Footfield Betsy | — | — | 0.618 | — |
| 4 | Toems Sadie | — | 0.616 | 0.620 | — |
| 5 | Lively Gezza | 0.619 | — | 0.623 | — |
| 6 | Hollyhill Melody | — | 0.628 | — | 0.612 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.