| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hollyoak Taylord 2y 17 | R W Butler — 18% R213 W38 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 74 (1) | 63 (2) | 68 (4) | 75 (3) | 55 (1) | 70 (2) | 32 (1) | 18 (1) | 22 (5) | - | 38 | 36 | 12 | 59 | 60 | 51 | 1 | 8/11F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Foxwood Zachb 2yN/R 36 | B G Backhurst — 16% R209 W33 P109 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 67 | 54 | 76 (2) | 61 (4) | 74 (2) | 88 (1) | 62 (4) | 79 (1) | 76 (1) | 48 (5) | 76 (1) | 55 (5) | 31 | 25 | 37 | 16 | 71 | 43 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bombay Bossd 3y 14 | R M Emery — 11% R123 W13 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 43 | 50 (4) | 60 (3) | 74 (1) | 73 (1) | 55 (4) | 56 (3) | 53 (6) | 48 (5) | 79 (2) | 48 (6) | 6 | 22 | - | 23 | 60 | 44 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Harlequin Windyb 4y 53 | B D O'sullivan — 19% R529 W100 P299 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 28 | 64 (3) | 46 (2) | 42 (4) | 35 (6) | 36 (5) | 45 (5) | 63 (4) | 62 (2) | 44 (1) | - | 29 | 35 | - | - | 49 | 27 | 5 | 11/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Jaguar Enableb 4y 14 | G L Davidson — 14% R227 W31 P101 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 47 | 75 (1) | 59 (3) | 60 (2) | 43 (5) | 37 (6) | 42 (5) | 36 (6) | 20 (6) | 59 (3) | 81 (1) | 26 | 14 | 21 | 33 | 54 | 46 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Windsor Beautyb 2y 15 | N F Carter — 17% R257 W43 P136 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 52 | 51 (5) | 63 (5) | 46 (3) | 31 (5) | 57 (2) | 62 (2) | 49 (3) | - | - | - | 16 | 10 | - | - | 51 | 39 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
The statistical outlier on the card: a speed rating of 67 that is nearly 10 points clear of the next-best runner in this race, combined with the highest average performance at 71 and a class drop from A2. Drawn in the best trap at A3 491m — trap 2 wins 22.0% from 2,037 runs, comfortably above every other position. The combination of best draw, best speed, best performance rating, and class advantage is as clear a convergence of signals as any race on today's card presents. The Medium confidence rather than Strong reflects a specific concern: Hollyoak Taylor in trap 1 has a Fader profile with EP:86 and bend:86 which is the exact profile that can disrupt speed-favoured dogs at Central Park's punishing first bend. However, when all four primary factors (draw, speed, composite, performance) point to the same dog, that convergence should be respected. Foxwood Zach is the selection.
Fader profile with high EP and bend scores. Genuine threat from trap 1. Clear danger.
Average draw, modest form. Minor role in this race.
Average draw, mid-table form. Place candidate at best.
Below-average draw and form. Not a factor.
Worst draw at A3 491m. Very hard to justify a win from here.
2,037 A3 491m runs. T2 dominant (22.0%), T6 worst (8.3%). Composite R1 wins 23.3% — reasonable predictability. Speed and performance ratings carry strong weight at A3.
T1:17.5% T2:22.0% T3:17.6% T4:18.0% T5:16.6% T6:8.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Hollyoak Taylor | 86 | 0 | Fader |
2Foxwood Zach | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Bombay Boss | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Harlequin Windy | 18 | 100 | Closer |
5Jaguar Enable | 82 | 0 | Fader |
6Windsor Beauty | 86 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 388m | 491m | 500m | 525m | 548m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hollyoak Taylor | 0.621 | — | 0.610 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Bombay Boss | — | 0.638 | 0.613 | — | — | 0.633 |
| 4 | Harlequin Windy | — | — | 0.613 | 0.611 | — | — |
| 5 | Jaguar Enable | 0.623 | — | 0.617 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Windsor Beauty | 0.606 | — | 0.611 | — | 0.565 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.