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COME ON SHEILEEN HAT TRICK RACE
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lindas Yes Babyd 3y 33 | D Mullins — 18% R363 W67 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 51 | 45 (5) | 51 (5) | 69 (3) | 53 (4) | 87 (1) | 82 (1) | 69 (3) | 60 (4) | 69 (3) | 72 (2) | 36 | 34 | 51 | 25 | 62 | 35 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Laurens Jay Lob 2y 18 | M E Wiley — 19% R508 W95 P263 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 50 | 82 (1) | 78 (1) | 74 (1) | 66 (3) | 71 (2) | 74 (2) | 78 (1) | 66 (2) | - | - | 64 | 60 | - | 70 | 75 | 58 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Miami Sapphired 3y 33 | P W Young — 18% R1312 W233 P739 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 52 | 68 (2) | 59 (4) | 79 (2) | 82 (2) | 63 (5) | 61 (4) | 98 (1) | 73 (2) | 81 (2) | 67 (2) | 36 | 34 | 20 | 36 | 72 | 34 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Essex Crazyd 2y 17 | M E Westwood — 13% R252 W33 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 58 | 79 (1) | 76 (1) | 60 (5) | 86 (1) | 63 (4) | 22 (1) | 13 (5) | 85 (2) | 96 (1) | 37 (2) | 20 | 40 | 32 | 50 | 67 | 41 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Stormy Patd 2y 18 | K M O'flaherty — 19% R339 W65 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 53 | 66 (4) | 66 (3) | 50 (6) | 40 (6) | 58 (5) | 78 (2) | 64 (4) | 62 (5) | 89 (1) | 68 (3) | 46 | 36 | 10 | 16 | 62 | 49 | 2 | 15/8F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Chelms Simmod 4y 24 | D Mullins — 18% R363 W67 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 47 | 72 (3) | 81 (1) | 77 (1) | 56 (4) | 60 (3) | 74 (1) | 46 (6) | 54 (6) | 56 (4) | - | 29 | 31 | 33 | 34 | 67 | 42 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
The required model selection, and the case rests primarily on his trap suitability — the best in the field at 46 from trap 5, which is a meaningful statistical edge. His composite of 49 is second in the race and his six-run form shows steady if unspectacular A2-level figures in the P40-P66 range. He has been running consistently at this level without quite producing the peak performances that Laurens Jay Lo has — a P66 last time out at A2 is honest work. His All-Rounder pace profile allows him to find his position from trap 5 without being a pure pace-setter. The difficulty is that on pure form and composite he is comfortably second-best to Laurens Jay Lo, and winning at A2 requires producing close to your best on the day.
Every metric points to Laurens Jay Lo — composite R1, best performer, best suitability, best draw. Primary danger to all other runners.
Was in excellent form earlier in the season but the recent slide to P45 is a concern at competitive A2 level.
Recent second here at A2 is a live form reference but composite too low to win against the top two today.
Won A3 last week but steps up to A2 with the weakest trap suit in the field — pace-setter risk in closing stages.
Good recent form but worst draw in a strong A2 race — the trap 6 structural penalty is too heavy to overcome today.
Trap 2 the structural best at A2 (20.5%). Trap 6 historically very weak (10.7%). Composite R1 wins 22% — composite leader has a strong edge. The large R1-R2 gap in strike rates makes this a race to pick the top dog correctly.
T1:18.3% T2:20.5% T3:18.0% T4:16.7% T5:15.8% T6:10.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Lindas Yes Baby | 53 | 39 | All-Rounder |
2Laurens Jay Lo | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Miami Sapphire | 58 | 19 | Fader |
4Essex Crazy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Stormy Pat | 50 | 53 | All-Rounder |
6Chelms Simmo | 50 | 47 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 400m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (400m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 220m | 225m | 388m | 400m | 450m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lindas Yes Baby | — | — | — | 0.614 | — | — |
| 2 | Laurens Jay Lo | — | — | — | 0.609 | 0.620 | — |
| 3 | Miami Sapphire | — | 0.611 | — | 0.615 | — | — |
| 4 | Essex Crazy | 0.630 | — | 0.611 | 0.614 | — | 0.617 |
| 5 | Stormy Pat | — | — | — | 0.612 | — | — |
| 6 | Chelms Simmo | — | — | — | 0.613 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.