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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tonagha Chancerb 1y 5 | B Heaton — 16% R195 W31 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 56 | 28 (2) | 35 (5) | 57 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 37 | 37 | - | 24 | 45 | 40 | 2 | 9/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Crystal Camilab 1y 15 | T D Coote — 18% R571 W105 P290 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 48 | 34 (6) | 43 (6) | 19 (5) | 26 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 6 | - | - | 38 | 30 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballymac Beaud 3y 26 | B Heaton — 16% R195 W31 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 47 | 48 (4) | 31 (1) | 36 (4) | 31 (1) | 37 (5) | 31 (1) | 22 (5) | 40 (5) | 32 (6) | 37 (6) | 22 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 39 | 37 | 4 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Airlie Isabellab 2y 14 | T D Coote — 18% R571 W105 P290 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 99 | 100 | 25 (3) | 25 (3) | 37 (4) | 41 (4) | 37 (5) | 52 (2) | 63 (4) | 37 (5) | 51 (1) | 48 (1) | 35 | - | 6 | - | 44 | 72 | 1 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Alno Roseb 2y 6 | W M Lyons — 19% R1035 W199 P550 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 15 | 30 (1) | 39 (5) | 25 (5) | 63 (1) | 44 (4) | 43 (1) | 57 (3) | 40 (1) | 41 (4) | - | 29 | 30 | 4 | 22 | 43 | 38 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Inclement Magicb 2y 16 | I Zivkovic — 14% R616 W87 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 48 | 39 (5) | 47 (5) | 42 (3) | 34 (6) | 55 (3) | 47 (6) | 40 (5) | 81 (5) | 58 (1) | - | 29 | - | 18 | - | 46 | 45 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
The speed and early pace numbers for this dog are extreme outliers — ratings of 99 and 100 in a field where others are in the 40-56 range suggest this is a very inexperienced runner with limited comparative data rather than a genuinely exceptional performer. Has never raced 462 metres and has no track record at this venue in graded company. A Fader that leaves very quickly, which suits Kinsley in theory, but the unknown factors around form, distance, and class make any confident assessment impossible. One to watch rather than trust with money.
Best structural trap at A6, confirmed Fader with strong early pace, course and distance winner. Class jump from D4 is the main concern but the draw advantage is significant.
Pace danger with decent speed and an acceptable draw. Has not converted course and distance form into wins but is always in the mix.
First time over 462 metres is a genuine structural unknown. Limited form and below-average draw make this difficult to support.
Dead trap draw at A6 combined with Closer profile. Structural elimination regardless of form.
Speed leader with the wrong pace profile for this track. Seven course and distance blanks confirm the style mismatch. Speed alone is not enough here.
Trap 1 dominates at A6 grade, winning over 20% from 267 runs. Trap 5 is the structural dead draw at 11.5% from 408 runs — lowest of any trap at this grade. Composite rank 1 wins only 17.4% — the model is effectively useless here. Pace profile and draw are the key factors.
T1:21.0% T2:16.9% T3:18.6% T4:17.8% T5:11.5% T6:16.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tonagha Chancer | 59 | 31 | Fader |
2Crystal Camila | 52 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Ballymac Beau | 48 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Airlie Isabella | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Alno Rose | 19 | 100 | Closer |
6Inclement Magic | 41 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 285m | 435m | 462m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tonagha Chancer | 0.623 | — | — | 0.638 | — |
| 2 | Crystal Camila | 0.635 | — | — | 0.635 | — |
| 3 | Ballymac Beau | 0.632 | — | — | 0.636 | — |
| 4 | Airlie Isabella | 0.634 | 0.601 | — | — | 0.611 |
| 5 | Alno Rose | 0.628 | — | — | 0.637 | — |
| 6 | Inclement Magic | — | — | 0.607 | 0.633 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.