| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Letter Flashb 4y 16 | M N May — 17% R262 W44 P110 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 18 (6) | 23 (4) | 24 (3) | 26 (2) | 27 (2) | 17 (5) | 18 (6) | 22 (3) | 21 (5) | 23 (4) | 14 | 25 | - | 18 | 22 | 22 | 5 | 7/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Heathsastrikerb 2y 6 | I Zivkovic — 14% R616 W87 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 19 (5) | 31 (1) | 30 (1) | 23 (3) | 22 (3) | 23 (2) | 17 (6) | 23 (2) | 55 (3) | 22 (4) | 17 | 21 | - | 35 | 26 | 26 | 4 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Pennys Hirod 5y 35 | J S Atkins — 15% R296 W45 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 0 | 17 (5) | 28 (6) | 40 (5) | 52 (2) | 48 (3) | 49 (2) | 60 (1) | 51 (3) | 53 (3) | 47 (4) | 1 | - | - | - | 40 | 16 | 6 | 9/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Grange Bellb 2y 5 | J S Atkins — 15% R296 W45 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 51 | 26 (2) | 29 (1) | 16 (6) | 20 (5) | 54 (5) | 52 (2) | 53 (2) | 54 (2) | 39 (3) | - | 1 | 25 | - | 31 | 34 | 26 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Highview Arrowb 3y 26 | W M Lyons — 19% R1035 W199 P550 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | 54 | 53 (2) | 54 (3) | 45 (4) | 47 (4) | 42 (4) | 55 (4) | 42 (4) | 57 (6) | 75 (4) | - | - | 21 | - | - | 51 | 30 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Fleetwood Robbied 2y 36 | T D Coote — 18% R571 W105 P290 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 50 | 45 (4) | 37 (5) | 44 (4) | 47 (4) | 29 (3) | 37 (6) | 43 (6) | 41 (6) | 31 (6) | 63 (3) | 35 | 31 | - | 38 | 41 | 25 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
The fastest dog in this field by a considerable margin — speed rating of 65 against the next best of 52 — and the highest average performance at 51. Has been competing at A6 grade over 462 metres, where it placed second with a rating of 53 last time out. This is dramatically better competition than anything else in this handicap sprint field, and the class difference should be decisive at 268 metres. First time racing at this shorter trip, which adds some uncertainty, but the speed override rule applies: when a dog's speed rating is more than five points clear of the field, the trap disadvantage can be overridden. At 65 versus 52 for the next runner, that gap is 13 points — overwhelming. The speed and class are too good for this company to ignore, regardless of the draw.
Best course and distance record among the sprint regulars with a good draw. The main beneficiary if the class runner underperforms on debut at this distance.
No course and distance wins despite ten attempts and modest form across the board. Cannot recommend in a race with a clear class standout.
Closer profile is an absolute structural barrier at 268m. Declining form and zero suitability across the board. Structural elimination regardless of draw.
Second-fastest with course form backed by a good trainer. A winner in a different race but significantly outclassed by the A6 runner on speed. Each-way consideration at best.
Best structural draw but no proven 268m sprint form. Outclassed by the A6 runner on both speed and class. Structural draw alone is not enough.
Handicap race — using overall Kinsley 268m profile as proxy. Trap 6 best at 20.3%, trap 5 structurally weakest at 13.3%. Speed rank 1 is the dominant predictor at sprint distances. Class advantage from A6 462m form is the primary analytical factor in this specific race.
No HP-specific data. Using overall Kinsley 268m data: T1:18.3% T2:19.0% T3:~13-15% T4:13.8% T5:13.3% T6:20.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 268m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (268m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 435m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Letter Flash | 0.637 | — | — |
| 2 | Heathsastriker | 0.636 | — | — |
| 3 | Pennys Hiro | 0.648 | 0.619 | — |
| 4 | Grange Bell | 0.637 | — | 0.630 |
| 5 | Highview Arrow | — | — | 0.626 |
| 6 | Fleetwood Robbie | 0.640 | — | 0.633 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.