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HARLOW MAIDEN MONKEY
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Moaning Haglerd 2y 25 | D B Whitton — 24% R308 W73 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 35 | 52 (5) | 75 (1) | 63 (2) | 77 (1) | 30 (4) | 30 (4) | 39 (1) | 49 (1) | 30 (4) | - | 2 | 22 | - | 40 | 63 | 24 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Glenvale Sashab 2y 29 | S A Saberton — 23% R398 W91 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 44 | 80 (1) | 76 (1) | 74 (1) | 50 (2) | 26 (3) | 61 (3) | 57 (4) | 24 (1) | 53 (4) | 59 (4) | 54 | 30 | - | 57 | 64 | 48 | 5 | 11/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Tinks Jesterd 3y 29 | S A Saberton — 23% R398 W91 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 55 | 75 (2) | 57 (6) | 83 (1) | 81 (1) | 81 (1) | 80 (1) | 31 (2) | 65 (4) | 40 (3) | - | 59 | 71 | - | 59 | 74 | 57 | 1 | 1/2F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Savana Catapillad 2y 27 | T J Nevin — 19% R469 W90 P235 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 28 | 44 | 45 (4) | 71 (1) | 52 (4) | 26 (1) | 29 (5) | 71 (1) | 39 (5) | 23 (1) | 22 (1) | 21 (1) | 42 | 40 | - | 45 | 45 | 30 | 6 | 25/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Golden Acreb 3y 15 | M P Brown — 20% R402 W81 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 59 | 67 (3) | 80 (3) | 91 (1) | 86 (2) | 77 (6) | 72 (2) | 92 (3) | 87 (1) | 73 (1) | - | 40 | - | - | - | 80 | 67 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Baggins Ladd 3y 36 | D R Jinks — 16% R570 W91 P310 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 53 | 64 (2) | 29 (4) | 79 (1) | 38 (1) | 35 (1) | 43 (5) | 57 (3) | 79 (1) | 79 (1) | 63 (2) | 40 | 35 | - | 56 | 66 | 41 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
XGB probability of 0.548 is an extraordinary single-dog signal, the model assigns a 55% win chance based on deep feature analysis. Composite of 57 and average performance of 74 combine with early pace of 100 and bend of 55 to create an all-round profile that suits Harlow 415m perfectly. Its recent form includes a dominant 26.35s win at Harlow 415m A4 on May 29 as 10/11 favourite, one grade harder than today, leading from the run-up into the first bend. Two subsequent Romford OR 400m finishes were less convincing but Romford is a very different configuration. The return to Harlow at a lower grade is the decisive form pointer.
Danger on composite and grade-drop grounds, but ep:0 is the key concern for 415m where early pace separates winners from the chasing pack.
Secondary danger with a three-race winning run at A5 Harlow 415m. Cannot be dismissed despite the XGB model strongly favouring Tinks Jester.
One recent win but low composite and poor bend limit the case here.
A6 level form that may be outclassed if OR3 attracts stronger competition.
Solid A5 form but multiple stronger signals point elsewhere in this race.
OR3 415m at Harlow has only 1 run of condition data. XGB probability of 0.548 on Tinks Jester is the highest in the race by a large margin. Early pace ep:100 for the pick is decisive for 415m where early position is critical.
Sample size of 1 run means no structural data is available
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Moaning Hagler | 49 | 56 | Closer |
2Glenvale Sasha | 44 | 82 | Closer |
3Tinks Jester | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Savana Catapilla | 51 | 41 | All-Rounder |
5Golden Acre | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Baggins Lad | 65 | 44 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 415m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (415m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 400m | 415m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moaning Hagler | 0.656 | — | 0.654 | — |
| 2 | Glenvale Sasha | 0.669 | — | 0.651 | — |
| 3 | Tinks Jester | 0.649 | 0.610 | 0.644 | — |
| 4 | Savana Catapilla | 0.648 | — | 0.662 | — |
| 5 | Golden Acre | — | — | — | 0.609 |
| 6 | Baggins Lad | 0.650 | — | 0.650 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.