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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Yo Rangerd 2y 6 | T J Nevin — 19% R469 W90 P235 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 50 | 31 (6) | 62 (1) | 50 (3) | 38 (3) | 31 (6) | 43 (3) | 12 (5) | 15 (4) | 27 (5) | 36 (4) | 22 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 38 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Howsyerday Dollyb 2y 15 | D R Jinks — 16% R570 W91 P310 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 40 | 35 (6) | 50 (3) | 51 (2) | 18 (4) | 30 (1) | 23 (3) | 28 (1) | 10 (5) | 8 (6) | 16 (3) | 19 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 34 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Badminton Beachb 3y 18 | D R Jinks — 16% R570 W91 P310 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 55 | 30 (5) | 40 (4) | 38 (6) | 13 (5) | 16 (3) | 34 (5) | 63 (1) | 38 (5) | 66 (1) | 44 (4) | 24 | 19 | 20 | 15 | 35 | 47 | 2 | 11/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Burgess Doireannb 3y 23 | T Parkinson — 10% R39 W4 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 20 (4) | 14 (6) | 43 (4) | 22 (2) | 14 (6) | 20 (3) | 17 (5) | 14 (3) | 24 (4) | - | 8 | 20 | - | - | 28 | 33 | 4 | 20/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Savana Shadyd 3y 14 | T J Nevin — 19% R469 W90 P235 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 46 | 40 (5) | 34 (4) | 28 (1) | 11 (6) | 11 (6) | 33 (4) | 54 (5) | 32 (4) | 22 (6) | 52 (1) | 23 | 17 | 16 | - | 31 | 37 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Townsend Margob 1y 6 | D R Jinks — 16% R570 W91 P310 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 60 | 45 (3) | 49 (2) | 59 (1) | 45 (3) | 40 (6) | 24 (6) | 20 (5) | 39 (5) | 44 (5) | - | 6 | 20 | 23 | 25 | 45 | 46 | 1 | 2/5F | - | |
Bend rank R1 in the field at 60, XGB probability of 0.415 — race-highest by a wide margin — and average performance of 45, also the highest in the field. Three consecutive top-3 finishes at Harlow A7 from trap 5: won June 5 in 27.88s, ran 2nd on June 10 in 27.98s having led until bend four, and 3rd on June 15. The bend rating of 60 combined with early pace of 61 means this dog attacks the first corner at pace and sustains through the back straight. T6 structural rate is 20.80% — second strongest in A7 after T1. Three primary metrics (bend R1, XGB R1, avgP R1) aligning on the same dog is a Strong selection signal at Harlow 415m.
Composite R1 is noted but recent form sequence is 5th, 4th, 6th — the composite may reflect ceiling potential rather than current form. Secondary danger behind the pick.
T1 structural advantage is real and a recent A7 winner, but the June 15 disaster and composite/bend below the pick limit confidence.
Recent poor run and weak bend rating make this an unlikely winner in this company.
Grade and trip increase from 238m D5 level — class suitability of 7 is the lowest in the field and reflects how far out of its comfort zone this runner is.
Sprint form at D5 level plus no 415m early pace data — not a convincing 415m A7 profile.
T1 wins 23.03% at Harlow 415m A7 across 825 runs. Bend R1 wins 28.6% — stronger when signals diverge. Townsend Margo (T6) has bend R1 (60), XGB R1 (0.415), and avgP R1 (45) — three primary metrics aligned without composite R1.
T1:23.03% T2:16.82% T3:16.19% T4:17.59% T5:16.56% T6:20.80%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Yo Ranger | 72 | 0 | Fader |
2Howsyerday Dolly | 34 | 76 | Closer |
3Badminton Beach | 52 | 74 | Closer |
4Burgess Doireann | 48 | 54 | All-Rounder |
5Savana Shady | 0 | 0 | Fader |
6Townsend Margo | 61 | 46 | Front Runner |
Only runs at exactly 415m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (415m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 325m | 415m | 450m | 650m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yo Ranger | — | — | 0.681 | 0.633 | — |
| 2 | Howsyerday Dolly | 0.679 | — | 0.683 | — | — |
| 3 | Badminton Beach | — | — | 0.671 | — | — |
| 4 | Burgess Doireann | 0.689 | — | 0.678 | — | — |
| 5 | Savana Shady | 0.693 | — | 0.679 | 0.628 | 0.641 |
| 6 | Townsend Margo | 0.681 | 0.575 | 0.676 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.