Loading...
CORAL 515 TROPHY - HEAT 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Jacktavern Mojod 2y 27 | B S Green — 22% R422 W92 P256 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 76 | 90 (1) | 91 (1) | 90 (1) | 71 (2) | 51 (6) | 58 (5) | 66 (2) | 62 (4) | 71 (3) | 63 (3) | 43 | 39 | 42 | - | 76 | 45 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Inventd 3y 46 | S A Cahill — 20% R374 W74 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 22 | 13 | 86 (3) | 38 (5) | 62 (5) | 88 (1) | 88 (1) | 63 (3) | 100 (1) | 90 (1) | 57 (4) | 46 (6) | 42 | 68 | 33 | - | 72 | 35 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Alright Bulletd 1y 34 | D N Lewis — 17% R47 W8 P27 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 72 | 54 | 68 (3) | 94 (1) | 67 (4) | 79 (2) | 95 (1) | 95 (1) | 78 (3) | 64 (1) | 65 (1) | 43 (4) | - | 25 | - | - | 77 | 58 | 2 | 5/6F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Dereks Legendd 2y 34 | R P Rees — 26% R137 W35 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 46 | 79 (2) | 61 (5) | 55 (5) | 68 (3) | 91 (1) | 95 (1) | 71 (2) | 74 (4) | 86 (3) | 78 (3) | 40 | 32 | 10 | 9 | 74 | 49 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Salthill Sydneyd 3y 35 | R H Peckover — 21% R19 W4 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 30 | 62 (4) | 85 (3) | 85 (3) | 80 (2) | 75 (2) | 70 (4) | 84 (3) | 82 (4) | 74 (5) | 100 (1) | 31 | 34 | 23 | - | 78 | 48 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
The model's selection on the basis of the dominant trap four position, which wins 30.8% of OR3 515m races at Hove in the condition data — a very significant structural advantage. A Closer pace profile is ideal for the 515-metre Hove track, where settling off the early pace and producing a run in the straight is a proven pathway to success. The performance average of 74 is solid and the composite of 49 places this dog competitively in the middle of the field. The reservation is that the composite score is not the highest in the race — Alright Bullet has a clearly superior composite and speed rating — meaning the selection rests substantially on trap bias. At 30.8%, trap four is genuinely dominant at this grade and distance, and a Closer in the advantaged trap is a combination that wins races at Hove 515m. Narrow pick on structural grounds in a race where the form advantage lies elsewhere. Recent form from OR grade.
Best speed in field and strong composite, but worst trap draw and zero distance experience. The data is strong enough to make this the chief danger despite the structural disadvantages.
High recent peaks but extremely low speed rating creates doubt. Zero distance form and a Fader profile at OR3 515m are meaningful concerns.
Good draw but very weak model scores and no distance suitability. The trap advantage doesn't translate into a competitive case at OR3.
Highest avgP in the field but below-average trap draw and no distance form. Below-average structural position limits the appeal despite strong performance data.
T4 dominates at 30.8% in condition data — a very strong structural draw with no T6 in this race. T3 is the worst draw at 14.9%. Trap bias is the dominant factor in this race shape.
T1:19.5% T2:23.0% T3:14.9% T4:30.8% T5:15.7% T6:23.1%
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Jacktavern Mojo | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Droopys Invent | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Alright Bullet | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Dereks Legend | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Salthill Sydney | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (515m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 500m | 525m | 575m | 630m | 650m | 664m | 695m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacktavern Mojo | 0.595 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Droopys Invent | 0.591 | — | 0.619 | 0.606 | 0.619 | — | — |
| 3 | Alright Bullet | 0.584 | 0.553 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Dereks Legend | 0.585 | — | — | — | — | 0.614 | 0.610 |
| 5 | Salthill Sydney | 0.586 | — | — | 0.615 | 0.609 | 0.616 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.