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CORAL SUMMERTIME 285 MAIDEN SPRINT
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ower Girl Ziggyb 4y 25 | J E Harvey — 18% R67 W12 P39 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 26 (5) | 32 (2) | 23 (5) | 31 (2) | 31 (1) | 25 (2) | 24 (3) | 28 (3) | 46 (6) | 35 (1) | 29 | 28 | - | 35 | 46 | 39 | 4 | 14/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Slick Scoutd 1y 5 | P J Browne — 14% R118 W16 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | - | 41 (1) | 37 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 50 | 50 | - | 50 | - | 15 | 1 | 5/6F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Move Over Evab 2y 16 | C Gardiner — 21% R348 W73 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 75 (4) | 37 (3) | 71 (4) | 88 (2) | 35 (4) | 40 (1) | 35 (2) | 59 (6) | 89 (2) | 44 (1) | 2 | 39 | 14 | 36 | 76 | 59 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Solid Amberd 3y 8 | G S Byford — 26% R245 W63 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 34 (3) | 41 (1) | 36 (1) | 34 (2) | 33 (3) | 29 (4) | 31 (4) | 30 (3) | 33 (2) | 26 (4) | 28 | 40 | - | 39 | - | 11 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Wicky Podged 1y 13 | B D O'sullivan — 19% R527 W101 P299 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | - | 43 (4) | 31 (2) | 24 (1) | 37 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
The model's prediction one despite a performance average of zero — an unusual choice that requires explanation. The speed rating of 63 is the highest in the field, which at a 285-metre sprint is the single most predictive factor available. Course and distance record shows two wins from two runs — a 100% C&D win rate — which, while from a very small sample, is the best possible evidence of suitability for this specific test. Trap two wins 22.9% at OR 285m — the best available draw with trap six absent. The combination of the dominant draw, leading speed figure for a sprint, and a 100% C&D win rate is why the model rates this first despite the performance average being suppressed. At 285m, gate speed and early position determine the result, and this dog has the best combination of those factors. Approached with caution given the small sample — the performance history is too thin for confidence — but the structural and speed evidence makes this the most logical selection. Tentative confidence.
Best form in field by a clear margin but drawn in the worst trap for a 285m sprint. A genuine danger who could absolutely turn this around — the structural penalty is the only thing standing between this and the top selection.
Historical C&D form is solid but current performance trajectory is sharply declining. Fader pace profile at a pure sprint distance adds further concern.
C&D experience is a positive and trainer Byford is worth respecting, but model scores are too weak and the draw is below average for a sprint. Hard to recommend.
Above-average trap draw is the only positive. Composite 1 and zero open-race evidence at this trip make a recommendation impossible.
T6 dominates at 32.3% but is absent. T2 is the best available draw at 22.9%. T3 is the worst draw in the race at 9.6%. Composite R1 wins only 18.2% — the weakest model endorsement of any distance. Gate speed and early position are everything at 285m.
T1:16.7% T2:22.9% T3:9.6% T4:12.5% T5:18.8% T6:32.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 285m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 285m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (285m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 285m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ower Girl Ziggy | — | 0.597 | 0.613 |
| 2 | Slick Scout | — | 0.582 | — |
| 3 | Move Over Eva | 0.597 | 0.591 | — |
| 4 | Solid Amber | — | 0.592 | — |
| 5 | Wicky Podge | 0.606 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.