Composite R1 at 43 and the form clearly supports it — she won a HP 450m at this exact track last week, producing a P75 which is the best single-race mark in this field over a comparable trip. Recent form across the last five runs shows a P75, a P61, a P57, and two others in the 40s to 60s — showing she places regularly in this type of competition. Average performance of 59 is the highest among the experienced runners. Drawn in T5 which is not a structural stand-out in handicap races but is a workable position. In a HP event, backing the horse who just won a HP at this same distance and track is a logical approach that the data supports clearly. The handicapper will not have adjusted fully in the space of a week.