Friday Night Executive Boxes @ Sunderland Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bricken Sallyb 2yN/R 5 | P Miller — 18% R535 W94 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 97 | 51 | 69 (2) | 52 (5) | 69 (2) | 80 (1) | 44 (5) | 55 (3) | 74 (1) | 57 (3) | 68 (1) | 49 (3) | 42 | 53 | - | 39 | 61 | 79 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Watermill Lucad 4yREP 53 | S Linley — 16% R379 W62 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 82 | 100 | 36 (3) | 51 (3) | 41 (3) | 49 (4) | 50 (2) | 33 (6) | 41 (5) | 43 (4) | 50 (3) | 57 (3) | 1 | - | 6 | - | 44 | 29 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Lillybetb 4yREP 16 | C Mcnicholas — 16% R521 W81 P268 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 59 | 42 (2) | 27 (3) | 44 (2) | 52 (2) | 29 (5) | 21 (6) | 16 (6) | 17 (4) | 29 (1) | 23 (3) | 10 | 25 | 20 | 23 | 33 | 39 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Kilmaloo Stillyd 1yREP 6 | P Miller — 18% R535 W94 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 43 | 49 (1) | 41 (3) | 25 (5) | 37 (3) | 26 (5) | 30 (5) | 30 (5) | 30 (5) | 45 (4) | 31 (6) | 18 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 36 | 37 | 3 | 1/1F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Lillies Bubblesb 3yREP 18 | P Miller — 18% R535 W94 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 47 | 30 (5) | 29 (5) | 30 (4) | 41 (2) | 30 (5) | 54 (4) | 26 (6) | 27 (6) | 42 (3) | 55 (1) | 27 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 36 | 43 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Laurens Brunod 3yREP 7 | C Mcnicholas — 16% R521 W81 P268 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 31 | 28 (5) | 36 (4) | 40 (2) | 34 (3) | 37 (3) | 33 (4) | 39 (2) | 30 (4) | 51 (1) | 40 (3) | 12 | 25 | 18 | 19 | 35 | 36 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
The model case here is as clear as it gets. Composite 79 versus next-best 43 — a 36-point gap that is extraordinary by any measure and far beyond the normal separation seen even in class-drop situations. She has been running at A3 grade where she recorded a P80 two starts back and is now dropped six grades to A9. That kind of placement is typically a trainer's signal of intent. Speed rating of 97 is also the highest on the card today — a number that puts her in a different category to this field entirely. Average performance of 61 is the best in this race. She leads on all four model lenses: composite, speed, average performance, and most likely bend. Drawn in T1 which wins 20.83% at A9 — the second-best structural position. The pace profile is All-Rounder so she will not be caught cold off the lids. There are no material reservations here and this is the highest-conviction pick in any race at this meeting.
Second-best in the race but facing an exceptional opponent — best of the rest.
Stale model data and slow recent trials after 380-day absence — impossible to recommend.
Solid A9 runner but overwhelmed by the class-drop visitor.
Competent at grade but no answer to the visiting A3 runner.
Below-average A9 runner — no case against the class-drop pick.
Bricken Sally leads on all four model lenses — composite, speed, performance, and close to bend. 36-point composite gap is extraordinary at any grade. T1 wins 20.83% at A9 — solid draw.
T5:21.15% T1:20.83% T3:20.31% T6:17.53% T4:18.74% T2:13.95%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bricken Sally | 50 | 95 | Closer |
2Watermill Luca | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Lillybet | 53 | 26 | All-Rounder |
4Kilmaloo Stilly | 42 | 56 | Closer |
5Lillies Bubbles | 50 | 44 | All-Rounder |
6Laurens Bruno | 34 | 76 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 450m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Watermill Luca | — | — | 0.631 |
| 3 | Lillybet | 0.641 | 0.650 | — |
| 4 | Kilmaloo Stilly | — | 0.647 | — |
| 5 | Lillies Bubbles | — | 0.645 | — |
| 6 | Laurens Bruno | — | 0.646 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.