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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Porthall Luciab 2y 4 | N M Slowley — 14% R97 W14 P42 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 40 | 34 (2) | 58 (4) | 65 (4) | 60 (4) | 62 (5) | 25 (6) | 86 (1) | 74 (3) | 37 (1) | - | 29 | 33 | 17 | 19 | 54 | 44 | 2 | 15/8F | ||
| 2 | ▶ She Can Danceb 3y 8 | S W Deakin — 16% R499 W82 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 63 | 56 (5) | 45 (6) | 86 (1) | 80 (1) | 48 (4) | 60 (4) | 54 (5) | 64 (3) | 49 (3) | - | 31 | 35 | 32 | 30 | 61 | 47 | 4 | 4/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Sister Graceb 2y 42 | R L Hill — 19% R57 W11 P27 Trainer form — last 3 months | 100 | 0 | 65 (6) | 68 (4) | 69 (4) | 82 (4) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 79 (3) | 67 (5) | 77 (3) | 74 (2) | 23 | - | - | - | 76 | 56 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Ashtons Ernied 1y 15 | S W Deakin — 16% R499 W82 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 49 | 74 (1) | 28 (5) | 34 (2) | 37 (1) | 37 (5) | 11 (5) | 60 (2) | - | - | - | 31 | 30 | - | 39 | 42 | 39 | 6 | 7/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Pennys Edged 2y 43 | R Short — 19% R131 W25 P62 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 52 | 55 (5) | 60 (4) | 84 (1) | 61 (4) | 37 (4) | 93 (1) | 74 (2) | 77 (3) | 76 (2) | 68 (2) | 46 | 33 | 40 | 23 | 66 | 27 | 1 | 8/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Kingdom Bucksd 2y 4 | D T Smith — 17% R380 W63 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 53 | 64 (4) | 69 (3) | 62 (5) | 62 (5) | 52 (5) | 84 (1) | 47 (6) | 12 (5) | 20 (2) | 25 (1) | 37 | 38 | 11 | 29 | 57 | 46 | 3 | 3/1 | ||
An extraordinary animal dropping down from marathon staying trips at OR level — she has been running 630 to 847 metre races at the very top grade, winning twice and posting huge performance figures including two hundreds in her recent form. Her speed rating is the highest in this field by a significant margin, and the model ranks her top by a clear margin. The critical unknown is whether she can adapt from staying trips to the 480m standard distance. She answered that question at least partially by trialling over 480m at Dunstall Park on May 16, winning the trial in a solid time. Drawn in the joint-best structural trap at A2 (20.78%), with a Closer profile that suits mid-distance racing, she arrives from a completely different world to her opponents but she has clearly been aimed here with care. On ability, she is in a different league; on distance uncertainty, she carries risk — hence Tentative.
Most reliable A2 performer in the field — worst trap stops him being the pick, but the form is the real danger.
Will lead from the front and is competitive at A2 — a place chance more than a win threat.
Capable of winning at this level but recent form inconsistent — needs to recapture A2 win form.
Recent A5 winner with a sharp trial, but the class rise to A2 is substantial — likely place rather than win.
Strong when right but returning from a lengthy break — the layoff is the key question mark.
T3 and T5 joint best at ~20.9%. T6 weakest at 14.58%. Comp R1 reliable at A2 — upper grade where model holds.
T1:18.18% T2:15.07% T3:20.78% T4:16.92% T5:20.90% T6:14.58%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Porthall Lucia | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2She Can Dance | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Sister Grace | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Ashtons Ernie | 67 | 0 | Fader |
5Pennys Edge | 33 | 100 | Closer |
6Kingdom Bucks | 27 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.