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Arena Racing Company Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Patterdale Messid 4y 24 | D Blackbird — 17% R1084 W182 P585 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 54 | 59 (4) | 62 (2) | 58 (5) | 83 (1) | 79 (1) | 64 (2) | 72 (1) | 57 (3) | 50 (4) | 50 (5) | 34 | 36 | 39 | 26 | 49 | 43 | 5 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Freedom Seekerb 2y 7 | J J Fenwick — 19% R495 W95 P284 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 69 (2) | 65 (2) | 68 (2) | 69 (2) | 54 (4) | 47 (4) | 72 (2) | 74 (1) | 72 (1) | 40 (5) | 61 | 68 | - | 54 | 67 | 65 | 1 | 15/8JF | |
| 3 | ▶ Wraysbury Orchidb 1y 24 | P Rutherford — 19% R333 W63 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 22 | 54 | 32 (5) | 49 (1) | 75 (5) | 61 (1) | 47 (3) | 69 (5) | 41 (1) | 73 (5) | 49 (1) | - | 68 | 57 | - | 54 | 65 | 63 | 2 | 15/8JF | |
| 4 | ▶ Fruity Beautyb 2y 36 | D Blackbird — 17% R1084 W182 P585 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 41 | 74 (6) | 75 (3) | 100 (1) | 74 (4) | 72 (5) | 53 (3) | 52 (5) | 57 (3) | 46 (5) | 63 (2) | 30 | 19 | 40 | 21 | 59 | 47 | 4 | 8/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Solway Aussied 2y 26 | D Little — 20% R104 W21 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 61 | 42 (4) | 28 (4) | 24 (3) | 49 (2) | 69 (2) | 31 (2) | 36 (1) | 59 (3) | 60 (3) | 77 (1) | 15 | 27 | 23 | 27 | 60 | 47 | 3 | 5/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Clerical Errord 2yN/R 4 | D Blackbird — 17% R1084 W182 P585 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 47 | 53 (4) | 71 (1) | 59 (2) | 57 (4) | 58 (4) | 44 (5) | 64 (3) | 74 (1) | 74 (1) | 57 (3) | 39 | 39 | 17 | 43 | 61 | 54 | - | - | |
P67 is best in field by 2 points. CS 71 makes him the strongest reliable Closer — not as explosive as Fruity Beauty's CS 100 but far more dependable (PC 87 vs PC 0). Form: 71→75→76→78→43 — four consecutive 71+ runs is elite consistency at A4 level, with a single 43 outlier. That 78 was his most recent good run. Trainer Fenwick@28% is moderate-tier and knows Newcastle well. T2 wins 19.65% at A4 — solid mid-table. On a galloping track where two Faders will collapse ahead, his CS 71 gives him ample closing power to sweep past them. The key differentiator is reliability — PCon 87 means you know what you're getting.
DANGER: 79-level form is best in field when firing. Three 77+ from last four is devastating. The Fader tag says she should fade but her results say she doesn't. If she fires another 77+ she beats everyone.
ELIMINATE. Worst runner by every meaningful metric.
Will close to 3rd-4th. Improving form but ceiling of 63 vs Seeker's 78 is unbridgeable.
Pace-maker. Will lead to 300m then fade. Honest 63 form insufficient to hold off closers.
Each-way. Consistent closer for minor honours.
R6 wins 35% — massive upset rate at A4 meaning composites are weak predictors. T1 and T3 are best traps (21%). R1 wins 21.5% showing favourites still win but the 35% R6 upset rate means anything can happen.
T1:21.07% T2:19.65% T3:21.15% T4:18.55% T5:15.79% T6:16.75%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Patterdale Messi | 53 | 42 | All-Rounder |
2Freedom Seeker | 40 | 71 | Closer |
3Wraysbury Orchid | 56 | 14 | Fader |
4Fruity Beauty | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Solway Aussie | 64 | 29 | Fader |
6Clerical Error | 47 | 58 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.