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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Don Ricod 3y 27 | J B Thompson — 19% R516 W96 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 56 | 55 (4) | 55 (4) | 63 (2) | 36 (1) | 68 (1) | 32 (2) | 63 (1) | 51 (2) | 44 (5) | 51 (4) | 23 | 57 | 30 | 40 | 56 | 50 | 1 | 9/4 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Another Phoenixd 3y 13 | R Taberner — 20% R716 W143 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 47 | 61 (2) | 64 (2) | 54 (4) | 44 (5) | 61 (3) | 75 (1) | 46 (4) | 58 (4) | 46 (4) | 54 (1) | 30 | 27 | 14 | 25 | 51 | 43 | 5 | 10/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Swift Fabricb 2y 7 | A K Jenkins — 16% R192 W31 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | 39 | 56 | 56 (3) | 62 (1) | 52 (2) | 47 (4) | 54 (2) | 46 (4) | 42 (5) | 31 (6) | 46 (4) | 48 (3) | 31 | 47 | 23 | 42 | 49 | 46 | 2 | 9/4 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Tireeb 3y 26 | J M Walton — 20% R242 W49 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 47 | 44 (5) | 44 (5) | 68 (4) | 56 (1) | 55 (2) | 40 (3) | 68 (5) | 63 (1) | 45 (1) | - | 28 | 32 | - | 27 | 50 | 43 | 4 | 6/5F | ||
| 6 | ▶ Angleseyparadiseb 2y 7 | N J Hunt — 20% R364 W71 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 48 | 50 (2) | 57 (1) | 50 (2) | 43 (2) | 55 (1) | 39 (4) | 30 (5) | 47 (2) | 48 (2) | 44 (3) | 38 | 33 | - | 36 | 51 | 46 | 3 | 12/1 | ||
Don Rico combines the two biggest advantages in this race: composite R1 (21.6% historical win rate) and the best trap draw (T1 at 25.4%). His Front Runner style with genuine early pace ('EarlyPace,EveryChance') is ideal for Monmore where getting to the first bend first is often decisive. Trainer J B Thompson has an exceptional 36.8% win rate in A7 480m at Monmore from 19 runners — a significant edge. The concern is real though: he's a confirmed Fader (EP 60, CSR 37) meaning he goes fast early but weakens late. In heavy going with an 11km/h headwind on the home straight, fading tendencies are amplified. Recent form of 2nd, 5th, 4th is inconsistent — the 2nd last time is encouraging but the dip before that suggests he can't be relied upon. The inside rail does shield from the 24km/h crosswind on bends, which is a positive. This is a race where quality and draw align, but the fading profile in testing conditions makes this a confidence-sapping pick.
Danger — composite R2 with a reasonable draw, but the chronic crowding at bends limits reliability. Best placed to benefit if inside runners fade or interfere with each other.
Minor place hope if Don Rico fades badly. Rails running could pick up scraps but quality is too low.
Fastest dog on paper but the draw and first-bend checking pattern make it very hard to win from here. The speed could tell for a place if getting a rare clean break.
Avoid — wide runner from outside in crosswind conditions. Despite trainer stats, the physics of this race work against Angleseyparadise.
Strong T1 bias at 25.4% — clear best draw. T5 surprisingly strong at 20.4% but no T5 runner today. Composite R1 wins at 21.6% — upsets common at this grade. Weak overall field makes trap advantage the primary differentiator.
T1:25.4% T5:20.4% T3:18.1% T6:16.5% T4:16.1% T2:15.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Don Rico | 54 | 37 | All-Rounder |
2Another Phoenix | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Swift Fabric | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Tiree | 45 | 65 | Closer |
6Angleseyparadise | 54 | 30 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.