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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tessy Magicb 1y 27 | R Taberner — 20% R707 W140 P413 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 42 | 43 (5) | 58 (4) | 46 (3) | 49 (5) | 50 (4) | 66 (2) | 46 (5) | - | - | - | 37 | 37 | 14 | 27 | 58 | 49 | 4 | 11/4 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Heaven Reversedb 2y 10 | J B Thompson — 19% R509 W95 P279 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 60 | 69 (1) | 48 (4) | 56 (3) | 35 (5) | 63 (1) | 35 (5) | 47 (5) | 54 (4) | 72 (5) | - | 45 | 57 | 25 | 47 | 62 | 58 | 1 | 5/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Eternal Spiritb 3y 19 | R Taberner — 20% R707 W140 P413 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 50 | 57 (3) | 76 (3) | 46 (5) | 81 (2) | 95 (1) | 86 (2) | 77 (4) | 53 (3) | 46 (5) | 62 (2) | 37 | 24 | - | 28 | 57 | 47 | 2 | 9/2 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Good Bobcatd 2y 6 | A K Jenkins — 16% R192 W31 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 61 | 36 (3) | 68 (3) | 77 (1) | 44 (5) | 44 (5) | 73 (1) | 69 (1) | 44 (4) | 32 (6) | 64 (3) | - | 40 | - | 34 | 56 | 49 | 5 | 5/2 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Thats Us Nowd 2y 39 | N J Hunt — 20% R364 W71 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 10 | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 74 (4) | 76 (3) | 78 (1) | 74 (1) | 59 (2) | 51 (4) | 69 (2) | 25 | 70 | 30 | 58 | 67 | 61 | 3 | 2/1F | ||
Heaven Reversed gets the pick as the override of composite R1 (Thats Us Now). At A5, composite R2 actually outperforms R1 historically (18.1% vs 17.3%), so this isn't even a statistical stretch. Performance rating 62 and composite 58 are the second-best in the field — close enough to Thats Us Now's 67/61 that draw and conditions become decisive. Track suitability of 57 is strong and the first bend rating of 60 is the second-best. The 'MissedBreak,Crd1' pattern is the biggest concern — missing the break from T2 when T3 and T4 have genuine early pace means likely trailing to the first bend. But the crowding at bend 1 may be less severe today: with Eternal Spirit (T3) and Good Bobcat (T4) both showing early pace, they'll push clear and the crowding zone will be further back. T2 is protected from the 24km/h crosswind. Recent form shows a bounce-back to 2nd (LR) after a worrying 4th and 5th — possibly recovering from a dip after a long winning streak.
Danger — fastest dog with the best running style for Monmore. The trap is the only thing holding it back. On a clean break from T3, this wins. On a crowded break, it struggles.
Best draw but can't exploit it. MissedBreak + low suitability = place chance only.
Best first bend but chronic crowding pattern nullifies the advantage. Avoid for win purposes.
Best dog in the race on ratings but worst delivery profile in today's conditions. The quality gap would need to be even larger to overcome first bend 10 + wide + crosswind + heavy. Possible place if everything else falls apart, but not the win pick.
Composite ranking is near-useless at A5 — R1 wins LESS than R2 and R3. Trap draw and running style are the primary differentiators. T1 and T6 are co-dominant but T6's advantage only applies to dogs that can exploit early pace, not wide closers.
T1:22.1% T6:21.3% T4:17.8% T5:17.4% T2:17.1% T3:14.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tessy Magic | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Heaven Reversed | 65 | 9 | Fader |
3Eternal Spirit | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Good Bobcat | 71 | 0 | Fader |
6Thats Us Now | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.