GREYHOUNDS MAKE GREAT PETS
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Reasontobelieved 5y 47 | T S Welch — 16% R118 W19 P56 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 54 | 78 (1) | 43 (5) | 58 (3) | 59 (2) | 74 (1) | 59 (4) | 61 (2) | 42 (5) | 64 (3) | 53 (6) | 52 | 49 | 46 | 49 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Black Treacleb 3y 27 | G E Evans — 23% R291 W66 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 59 | 55 (3) | 75 (1) | 62 (3) | 53 (4) | 69 (3) | 23 (6) | 62 (2) | 46 (5) | 47 (5) | 47 (5) | 32 | 33 | 26 | 32 | 51 | 43 | 5 | 2/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Jan Janb 2y 17 | P W Young — 18% R1322 W243 P772 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 48 | 64 (2) | 55 (3) | 51 (5) | 61 (4) | 59 (3) | 77 (1) | 66 (3) | 47 (5) | 64 (3) | 64 (3) | 46 | 44 | 31 | 39 | 61 | 53 | 2 | 11/8F | |
| 4 | ▶ Droopys Mab 3y 16 | P W Young — 18% R1322 W243 P772 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 46 | 95 (1) | 42 (5) | 78 (4) | 62 (5) | 61 (3) | 67 (3) | 51 (2) | 56 (5) | 52 (4) | - | 33 | 36 | 36 | 35 | 56 | 46 | 1 | 9/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Westwood Jewelb 3y 18 | D Childs — 13% R283 W38 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 51 | 24 (5) | 57 (2) | 50 (4) | 48 (4) | 41 (6) | 50 (3) | 48 (5) | 45 (5) | 47 (4) | 46 (4) | 35 | 33 | 12 | 33 | 50 | 43 | 6 | 14/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Droopys Listd 2y 110 | G E Evans — 23% R291 W66 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 45 | 75 (1) | 64 (2) | 73 (5) | 92 (2) | 64 (2) | 67 (2) | 75 (1) | 58 (4) | 68 (2) | 52 (5) | 44 | 46 | 23 | 32 | 57 | 50 | 4 | 9/2 | |
Droopys Ma gets the massive T4 advantage — 28.1% win rate in A4 400m at Romford across 1463 historical runs, 11 points clear of any other trap. Highest speed rating in the field at 55. Pace comment 'MidToWide,FcdToCk2,RanOn' tells the key story: she runs wide and gets checked at bend 2, but crucially she 'RanOn' — a genuine closer who finishes strongly. That closing ability directly benefits from today's 20km/h headwind on the home straight, which slows front-runners and gives finishers the advantage. From T4, she also has the cleanest initial path to the first bend, minimising early crowding. The concern is form trajectory: 4th→2nd→5th shows inconsistency, and that 5th most recently is worrying. The bend 2 trouble ('FcdToCk2') could recur. But the sheer statistical dominance of T4 at this grade/distance, combined with weather conditions that specifically suit her running style, tips the balance. Suitability scores are modest (trap 36, track 33, distance 36, class 35) — she's not proven here historically, making this a condition-based value pick rather than a form pick.
Best current form in the race (won last time, improving trajectory) but poor draw limits her. Clear danger if she avoids trouble.
Composite R1 with excellent form, but front-running style directly conflicts with headwind. Overridden in favour of T4 closer.
Decent early speed but fades and gets into trouble. No realistic chance.
Poor form and wide-running style in gusty conditions. Not a factor.
Improving form but too slow and too wide. Long shot only.
T4 dominates at 28.1% — 11 points above any other trap. This is the strongest single-trap bias in Romford A4 at 400m. Composite R1 only wins 22.3%, so upsets are common. Combined with headwind penalising front-runners, the closer drawn in T4 has a significant edge.
T4:28.1% T5:18.5% T2:17.4% T1:17.3% T3:16.6% T6:16.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Reasontobelieve | 51 | 51 | All-Rounder |
2Black Treacle | 60 | 6 | Fader |
3Jan Jan | 53 | 49 | All-Rounder |
4Droopys Ma | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Westwood Jewel | 49 | 33 | All-Rounder |
6Droopys List | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.