The Lucky Last A4 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Drumalee Divab 2yN/R 15 | Philip Oliver Fitzpatrick — 0% R4 W0 P2 Trainer form — last 3 months | 94 | 52 | - | 59 (3) | 81 (2) | 74 (2) | 90 (1) | 59 (4) | 72 (2) | 84 (1) | 54 (4) | 61 (4) | 69 (2) | 46 | 52 | 51 | 40 | 71 | 55 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Nice Flightb 2y 28 | Brian Reilly — 67% R3 W2 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | 85 | 49 | - | 52 (6) | 60 (4) | 86 (1) | 81 (1) | 63 (4) | 71 (2) | 48 (5) | 71 (2) | 64 (3) | 72 (2) | 29 | 34 | 23 | 36 | 66 | 40 | 3 | 11/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Micklem Tonicb 3y 14 | - | 89 | 48 | - | 55 (5) | 86 (1) | 50 (6) | 52 (4) | 47 (5) | 64 (4) | 80 (1) | 63 (1) | - | - | 26 | 17 | 17 | 28 | 62 | 43 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Killeshil Messid 3y 17 | Vincent Lynch — 33% R3 W1 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | 95 | 52 | - | 83 (1) | 74 (2) | 61 (3) | 50 (5) | 70 (2) | 62 (2) | 64 (3) | 52 (5) | 72 (2) | 68 (3) | 12 | 30 | 14 | 37 | 67 | 50 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Apache Gemd 3y 35 | - | 97 | 54 | - | 65 (3) | 82 (1) | 57 (3) | 83 (1) | 72 (2) | 80 (1) | 53 (6) | 59 (5) | 54 (5) | 64 (4) | 21 | 31 | 36 | 38 | 69 | 46 | 1 | 5/1 | |
A genuine A2-A3 performer dropping to A4, and the class edge is enormous. Won at A3 three starts back for a 90-rated performance — the highest individual rating on the entire card today — and has placed second in her last two A3 starts. The best time of 29.20 is comfortably the fastest in the field, nearly a full length quicker on the clock than anything else here. Even her last run, a P59 third at A2, was against dogs two grades above this field. The Fitzpatrick kennel clearly targets this grade specifically. Trap 2 is a poor draw at A4, winning just 10.9%, which tempers enthusiasm slightly, but the quality gap between this dog and the rest is the widest on the card. She may simply be too good to get beaten regardless of the draw.
Last-time A4 winner with progressive form — the clear danger to the class dropper.
Hopelessly outclassed on every metric — no realistic chance.
Capable of a big run but form has dipped and absent for a month — needs to bounce back.
Best trap and a recent A4 winner but inconsistent — could go either way.
Strong form but mainly over 600y — drawn in the dead trap at 525y.
Speed R1 at 28.4% — strongest signal on the card. T4 best at 18.6%.
T1:13.0% T2:10.9% T3:12.6% T4:18.6% T5:12.4% T6:9.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.